For me to win my work pool at this point I need a lot of things to happen.
1) Kansas wins it all.
2) Indiana beats North Carolina.
3) Xavier then beats Indiana.
4) Xavier then loses to whoever they face in the final four.
The reason I need Indiana is that I'm one point behind another co-worker who has identical picks as mine *except* he had Kentucky in that spot in the elite eight, and he had Xavier beating Michigan State in the final four. And the other co-worker who can beat me if Kansas wins it all have them winning against North Carolina.
But, Kansas winning will put me no lower than third.
I had Michigan State in the finals but all my other elite eight picks are still in, so if I get Kansas, Oklahoma, and Xavier I'll probably end up very high in the national percentiles.
This is getting weird, this is the third year in a row my runner up pick got upset in the first round. Two years ago, Duke. Last year, Iowa State. Next year I'll tell you who my runner up pick is so you all can avoid them.