Although I understand that lots of people would love to see a new Trek series, including me, I just don’t see any indication that it’s likely to happen any time in the near future. I don’t care how successful the new movie turns out to be, that does not automatically translate into a ready television audience for a new Trek series, especially when that series would most likely have only a peripheral connection to the movie at best.
It's important to bear in mind that PPC, and CBS-TV, both are for-profit organizations. (Yeah, I know... "duh"... but follow along, 'K?)
The point I was trying to make was that right now... based upon the level of success of the last few Trek endeavors... the folks running both the movies division and the TV division look at recent Star Trek as UNPROFITABLE... ie, as a bad investment. They're making a RISK INVESTMENT right now, based upon their faith, not in Trek, but in Abrams, to put out a profitable film.
The thing is, this movie's success or failure will either reinforce, or contradict, the current financial impression. If you see a new Trek, just done by different folks, turn out to be a spectacular success, the argument that "Star Trek is worn out and needs to be put out to pasture" will be disproven.
Given that, the door is opened for the possibility that, given a sufficiently interesting proposal, the TV network might become convinced that they can turn a profit off of a Trek show, other than simply by remastering old shows with a few new effects.
In other words, I'm not saying it GUARANTEES a new series. I'm saying that a box-office failure by this film practically guarantees NO new series, and that a massive success by this film would re-open the door towards a new series. A door that, right now, is closed, locked, deadbolted, chained, and has a bunch of stuff stacked up against it!
There seems to be a growing dichotomy between what people like to watch in movie theaters and what they like to watch on television. These days, the big money makers at the box office are sci-fi/fantasy movies, superhero movies, action/adventure movies and horror movies, but you find very few highly popular shows in similar genres on television, and when you do, they are typically relegated to niche cable channels with loyal audiences but relatively low ratings.
The thing to realize here is that the ENTIRE ENTERTAINMENT MODEL IS IN FLUX. Get a big 60" flat-panel with a 7.1 speaker system and you get a far better experience at home than you do at the theater... and you have the option of pausing, rewinding, whatever!
Look at how TV content is starting to be provided "on-demand" instead of by a set broadcast schedule. And consider the way that internet, telephone, and entertainment technologies are converging.
In a few more years, I really expect that the "big screen theaters" will really start to suffer, as home "big screens," and even portable (headgear-based) systems that have the same visual impact become much more cost-effective and higher quality. Movie theaters as we know them will go away... I'm sure of it.
Conventional broadcast TV will also go away, though. What you're going to have is super-high-speed digital content provided on-demand, in your home or on your portable headset or whatever.
Come home from work, and instead of going to the theater to catch the new movie release, you go into your entertainment room and watch it then and there, without having some punk kicking your seat or dropping popcorn over your shoulder, or talking back to screen!
Then, switch over to the live broadcast news... then to the video phone... all on the same device.
I see your point, Vektor, really, I do. But I don't see the separation between "at the movies" and "at home" viewing becoming WIDER... I see it as going away altogether.
The only real issue is the size of the production. There, at least, I think both you and Dennis have a point, though I think that the point might be overstated a bit. I really don't think that it's going to be so costly as to be economically non-viable to do a Trek series. But Dennis's point is correct... it's a lot less expensive to make many other types of series. So the Trek series would have to bring in a lot more money to justify its existence.
The real issue, then, remains... can PPC, and can CBS-TV, become convinced that Trek can be sufficiently viable to be worth the investment... or will they think that it's not quite good enough to justify making IT, instead of another "shot on a shoestring" series.
This movie is central to determining that.