Is anyone worried about an X-FILES type bomb?

[Squiggy]

Armageddon was good for what it was. If you want an accurate description of what would happen if a asteroid were to threaten Earth, watch Nova. If you want a love story to rival Marc Antony and Cleopatra, don't watch something with Bruce Willis.

 

[Jax]

Anyone else think the $150 million budget is a little risky, I mean thats not including what will most likely be a large TV ad campaign.

 

[number6]

Anyone else think the $150 million budget is a little risky, I mean thats not including what will most likely be a large TV ad campaign.

Not in the least. In fact it shows a great deal of confidence on Paramount's behalf. Remember that after TMP went so far over budget, there was a great deal of penny pinching in the TOS movies that followed. You can bet that they will spend as much money as they need to to get people to see the film, especially given the budget. Most of us who are fans of Abrams' work know that it will be worth every penny. For the rest, it will come down to how the film is promoted...and it will be promoted.

I don't think it will fail. At all.
I would be shocked if it did, but as a Star Trek fan, I'm pretty much guaranteed to see any Trek film at least once. If I like it I will probably see it more than once. So far the only Trek film I've only seen once in the theatre has been TFF.

Admittedly, I saw NEM a few times because I kept falling asleep in the middle.

 

[Lord Garth]

Star Trek may not be popular enough to make $200 million at the box office next May, but it certainly won't bomb like The X-Files: I Want To Believe. ST will provide greater spectacle, and it will have no gargantuan competition on release day (none that I know of, anyway).

My thinking exactly.

 

[Trajet]

I think Star Trek might surprise people and do a repeat of what I call the "Transformers effect" - albeit on a smaller scale. Transformers wasn't exactly looked forward to by the majority of the movie going public, being regarded as something of a joke movie based on a hokey 1980s cartoon. However, as soon as the teaser and first proper trailer came out, people started to think of it differently, and I've noticed the same sort of thing with Star Trek.

When I went to see Cloverfield, the Trek teaser was attached to it, and there wasn't any of the sniggering or groaning from the audience that would usually accompany a Star Trek trailer. I then showed the online version to a few friends, none of whom are trekkies, and one of them remarked that it looked like it would be worth going to see, simply because it looked "less cardboard and cheap" than previous Star Trek movies, and that was based on a 1:30 teaser!

I'm not worried about an X-Files style bomb, because I'm an optimist and believe that if Star Trek is marketed properly by Paramount, then it will be successful at the Box Office.

 

[Jeri]

The X-Files movie did not surpass expectations, but they expected it to make $10-15 million the opening weekend, and that's what happened. They knew what they were making and what they could expect, which is why it didn't cost them much and will make it back easily.

From "Dark Knight" fastest to $300 million"

...The 20th Century Fox sci-fi sequel "The X-Files: I Want to Believe" came in at No. 4 with $10.2 million, a figure at the lower end of expectations...

"The X-Files: I Want to Believe" also marks a reunion, this time between former FBI agents Mulder (David Duchovny) and Scully (Gillian Anderson). But it failed to spark much enthusiasm among fans or critics. Fox said it had targeted an opening in the $10 million to $15 million range.

"We made it for the fans and they have come out," said Chris Aronson, senior VP of distribution at the News Corp-owned studio.

The sci-fi mystery comes to screens six years after the underlying TV series "The X-Files" ended its run, and a decade after the first big-screen spinoff. That film, also called "The X-Files" opened to $30 million on its way to $84 million domestically.

The $30 million sequel marks the third consecutive disappointment in as many weeks for Fox, following the Eddie Murphy comedy "Meet Dave" and then the animated "Space Chimps." The studio, noted for keeping costs down and sharing the risk with outside partners, has had a quiet year highlighted by the early-spring release "Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who," which grossed $154 million domestically...

 

[ManOnTheWave]

(regarding The X-Files)
The previous movie was a let down. The show then went from must-see-tv to jumped-the-shark-tv. The finale was a letdown.

Well, while I generally agree with everyone that these two films are not in the same league, I do take issue with this post, because all of these things can be said about Star Trek.

Yes, but my point was that Trek still generates interest. X-Files, not so much.

 

[Rarewolf]

I think Star Trek might surprise people and do a repeat of what I call the "Transformers effect" - albeit on a smaller scale.

I go to see about 1-2 movies at the cinema a year, last year I saw Transformers and Simpsons.

This year I meant to see Indy & X Files but didn't get around to it.

The only one I'm planning to see next year is Transformers II.