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Does Trump think he can win a nuclear war?

Yes I think Trump does believe he could win a nuclear war.

To be fair to him though, back in the 1980's US and NATO strategists were looking at ways they could possibly "win" a nuclear exchange with Russia - all those strategies that Joshua demonstrates in the tic-tac-toe climax of Wargames are based on actual theoretical scenarios gamed out by the military.
 
Let's hope no-one has introduced him to the game Defcon. Several times I managed to wipe out the Reds without a single nuke landing on my cities.
 
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Kim Jong Un' s Grandfather Kim II Sung, the first North Korean leader, was raised in a Presbyterian family. Kim II Sung's father and grandfather were elders in the Prebyterian Church. This family has a strong religious background which might explain how they turned North Korea into a Quasi Religious state with the family being seen as divine and worthy of worship.
 
back in the 1980's US and NATO strategists were looking at ways they could possibly "win" a nuclear exchange with Russia - all those strategies that Joshua demonstrates in the tic-tac-toe climax of Wargames are based on actual theoretical scenarios gamed out by the military.
As an aside, I don't think a lot of people realize that the name of the band Megadeth is a political statement drawn from the write-ups on those scenarios: they used the term "megadeath" as shorthand for one million human deaths, in order to discuss the scenarios more analytically and dispassionately.
 
Let's hope no-one has introduced him to the game Defcon. Several times I managed to wipe out the Reds without a single nuke landing on my cities.

That might actually have been the case with the Cuban Missile Crisis. The only ICBM the Russians had then were one or two Sputnik launching R-7s--and they were a bit wonky then.

None of the cheaper missiles in Cuba that were aimed at the US were active. So there was little threat of something out of THE DAY AFTER. That had to wait for the USSR to move into what was known as Deep Parity.

The problem was that it would have been a tactical nuclear hell for all the hawks who wanted to invade Cuba, what with Kometas and the Free Rocket Over Ground missiles aimed at Gitmo.

The DPRK is a bit beyond what Cuba had at this point however.
 
With these NK missiles being lobbed over Japan, the chances of a malfunction causing Korean War part 2 increase..
if a missile does land on Japanese soil. it's over for Kim..and Seoul...
 
Kim and his regime hold onto power by amplifying the conspiracy and rhetoric that the country is ever-under the threat of destruction by the "West". Their entire propaganda machine revolves around not only the power and infallibility of the Kim dynasty, but that if they aren't ever-ready for the impending invasion by the US and its allies then Donald Trump and his evil minions will wash over the shores of their eastern seaboard and take the country from them.

Kim's (and his fathers, and his grandfather's) posturing is designed to continuously provoke a response from the US. The more footage he has of the president and other world leaders condemning him and his government, the more footage he has available to spin into propaganda. The stronger the rhetoric from the west, the better the propaganda.

Trump is feeding this machinery, giving the regime beautiful full-course meals of sturm und drang to serve up to the public. They need not twist or manipulate his words/meanings. They are overt, blatant statements filled with "fire and fury" that can play over and over to reinforce the internal propaganda that the country is ever on the precipice of invasion or destruction.

Kim is continuing to pursue his own form of twisted legitimacy. A country surrounded on all sides by enemies or, at best, frigid allies, needs to perpetuate an core of strength and power. In his mind, continuing to pursue his nuclear and missile regime works on two fronts - firstly it continues to provoke his "enemies", whose bellicose responses feed back into his propaganda system. Secondly it helps perpetuate the internal and eternal myth that he is doing all he can to protect his nation from it's enemies. By throwing up missiles, he creates the illusion of power, strength and defiance to feed to his subjects, and he generates the media and political reactions necessary to continue to feed into his myth making.

Kim does not have a strangle hold on power in NK. He is not the "Dear Leader" that his grandfather was. So he needs a power-play that will keep him atop the throne. He has ruthlessly either executed, or simply assassinated, many parts of his government (and own family) to shore up his power within his government, but to continue to instil the fear in his people (and generally attempt to attain the adoration that Kim Il-sung basked in for 50 years), he pursues nuclear technology. It gives him a (false) sense of status in the world and backs up his promises to the nation that he will protect them from the West at all costs.

Kim is endlessly written off as crazy. He certainly is morally and ethically disgraceful, but his tactics continue to work. He callously and methodically removes danging threads that could interfere with his cementing of his position. He overtly pursues nuclear weaponry, and the technology with which to threaten others with it effectively, to solidify his base myth of "keeping the western wolf at bay". And he intentionally provokes his "enemies" to generate the propaganda with which he can continue to keep his strangle hold on power.

This is why Trump is an idiot. He's not only feeding into it, but is clearly so oblivious to the political machinations, that he is in fact emboldening it. How many times a day do you think Kim's media network plays the "Fire and Fury" quote from a few weeks ago? I would be surprised if that one isn't played at the end of every "news bulletin" or government message for the entirety of Trump's Presidency.

Kim knows he can not win any war they start. But that's not the point of all this. The point is to continue to hold onto power using standard tactics of fear, repression, disinformation and control.

You know, like a despot should.

And Trump is swallowing it all down. Like the ignorant fool he is.

This is a very astute rundown of the situation. :techman:

Trump seems to have made the rookie mistake of taking obvious propaganda at face value. Yes, the North threatens the South (and America) on a regular basis. No, they have no intentions of actually invading or nuking anyone. But Trump doesn't get this, likely because he is not capable of meaningful abstract thinking. People always accuse Trump of being a liar, but I think it's not quite that. Trump is someone who says whatever he thinks people want to hear, in order to improve his standing and ego, and in the moment he very likely believes what he says--and if he forgets five minutes later and contradicts himself, he believes the contradiction, too. He's not a smart person and he seems to have no capacity for retaining information beyond a dossier of all the people who've slighted him over the years, upon whom he must get his payback.
 
He's not a smart person and he seems to have no capacity for retaining information beyond a dossier of all the people who've slighted him over the years, upon whom he must get his payback.
You are correct. I liken him to the eternal Reality Star, desperate for the next piece of publicity, an inkling of positive feedback to validate his existence. He's somehow forgotten, however, that in actual reality he needs neither any more, yet his ego won't loosen the grip on the notion of "If I stop talking I become irrelevant" (If only). He's a disaffected, lonely child that appears to have clear abandonment or rejection issues that have never been addressed, only compounded upon.

And regarding his dossier. You're right, he's so inept he can't even keep a list in his head. I mean, even at just 12, Arya was able to keep track of her list of Westerosi without any issues!

Hugo - Game of Thrones in case you don't follow it!
 
Trump doesn't like anyone waving the stick at him. If someone does, he's got to be the one waving a bigger one. It doesn't help that he's the President of the most powerful country on Earth. His ego meter must be off the charts when he's waving that stick and he's probably enjoying it.
 
With these NK missiles being lobbed over Japan, the chances of a malfunction causing Korean War part 2 increase..
if a missile does land on Japanese soil. it's over for Kim..and Seoul...

Yeah, that is the biggest threat to this, a missle falling short and hitting land rather than the sea, then no matter what Kim actually wanted it would be out of his hands as a retaliatory stike was sent to NK.
 
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