The sci fi channel needs competition.
I'm rooting for that competition to appear all over the place. It's more likely that good sf/f will continue to crop up on cable channels, vs some SyFy competitor being launched, as each cable channel gloms onto something suitable to its viewership: HBO with high-quality high fantasy and sexy horror/fantasy, AMC with high-quality sci-fi/horror, TNT with mainstream and somewhat maudlin sci-fi action, etc. FX is getting supernatural horror, but I could see them successfully launching a space opera series, heavy on the military angle. Showtime needs to get into the fray (and they are part of CBS, which holds TV rights to
Star Trek, hint hint!)
I'm skeptical about sf/f on broadcast, though. The problem of getting enough mainstream interest in any genre show will persist. I think CBS has the right idea with
Person of Interest, which can be considered sci fi under only the most generous definition. It's going to be like a real-world version of
Minority Report. Another one to watch is
Touch, premiering at midseason. It's ostensibly about a psychic
, autistic child, but if the show is really about Keifer Sutherland's trials and tribulations to keep his son safe, the sf/f content won't scare off the broadcast audience.
Terra Nova and
Alcatraz will get big numbers for the premieres, but I'm skeptical either can hold a large enough audience to survive. Of all the fall's sf/f launches, the most likely to survive is
Grimm, because it's been scheduled on Friday, which even on broadcast now adheres to cable rules about audience size: don't expect much.