Does anyone know how Beyond is tracking for its opening weekend?
- Thread starter VOODOOXI
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Why is Japan so late?
Seem to recall it was late with ID too.
Seem to recall it was late with ID too.
This scenario is still possible: I made a revised prediction of $100 million for international box office minus China. It sits at $66.5 million now. There are 21 countries left to open. $33.5 mill is still possible as the remaining countries made well over that for Into Darkness, so even if Beyond makes less, it could still hit that number. If China hits $75 million and The US box office does another $25 million that will be around $330 million. Even if China only makes $45 million (less than Into Darkness) It will still hit $300 million. While disappointing of course, it should give enough BO to make money between airing rights/streaming/PPV/disc sales.
300 million is very bad for a movie with a 185 million dollars budget. The last and only time a Star Trek movie didn't recoup its budget in the States was Nemesis.
I think that says enough...
I think that says enough...
Will they like Star Trek..?
Do you remember Star Wars?
Star Wars Underperforms In China As Cultural Differences Emerge
No one will know until Beyond opens.
As I've pointed out already, $300 million is a good base to make profit after secondary sources of revenue are considered. On top of that, while we don't know the exact amount Alibaba paid for Beyond, Paramount's share is less than $185 million. it might be as low as only $130-150 million. So Paramount will not be adversely affected in any way.
Also $300-330 million puts beyond 3rd out of 13 Trek films in un-adjusted dollars. It's actually 3rd already.
Again, the total is disappointing and kind of a mystery but the franchise should be fine.
STID made $57 million in China. The idea was that Alibaba would open up more of China for distribution and Beyond would make more there. So potentially, it was thought it might male $75-100 million. Even if it makes $45 million in my example..21% less than STID, Beyond could still reach $300 million.
Except the international market has grown so 'domestic' market is now less relevant overall.
I was told that Ronald Dahl was very popular in England and it turned out to be true. Not only did BFG win the opening weekend but as time went on it pulled further and further away.
It will end up making 40-50% more than STB when all is said and done. In hindsight, most of the U.K. market did indeed pick BFG over Star Trek.
Star Trek Beyond' s break even figure - the amount for covering production and market costs - is approximately $350 million. The figure for a sequel is much higher - I have heard this figure can be as three times as much as the production costs. In the case of Star Trek, approximately $555 million. (This aligns with the figure given for Ghostbusters, where the number for a sequel was $500 million.)
It's currently still sitting at $216 mil. That is sad sad sad.
Worst case scenario, the Kelvin Trek movies end on a fan-pleasing high note.
I'm hoping, since Beyond is still Paramount's best performing movie this summer and since nearly everything not Marvel or DC has struggled in an oversaturated market, that we'll get a ST4 made with a reduced budget.
I'm hoping, since Beyond is still Paramount's best performing movie this summer and since nearly everything not Marvel or DC has struggled in an oversaturated market, that we'll get a ST4 made with a reduced budget.
It is
but its still got quite a few markets to open up in including China where it will make a lot of money. It won't be pretty but STB will at the end when everything is said at done at least no lose money for paramount. What Paramount needs to do is fire the idiots who thought a mid July release date was a good idea with a piss poor marketing campaign.
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