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As of Right Now Star Trek is the number one movie for 2009!

We did it, #1, but for how long, how fast will transformers zoom up on it, I give it 15 days after release, so this should be on top until about July 10/09
 
We did it, #1, but for how long, how fast will transformers zoom up on it, I give it 15 days after release, so this should be on top until about July 10/09

That might be right. Transformers took 12 days to $200 million and 19 days to $250 million. Transformers 2 is going to open bigger and probably get there a little faster. Assuming Trek is around $235-240 million by then, 15 days could be close.
 
I think at the end of the year it will be something like:

Transformers
Harry Potter
Avatar
Star Trek
UP
I don't see Avatar being a top movie. Not enough people know what it is. People are getting bored with Harry Potter. I see it like this...

Transformers
Star Trek
Harry Potter
The rest...

Of course this is entirely my opinion so don't throw any stones.

Avatar is hard to predict, it will probably be a great movie but Cameron is so last generation. All the new kids will go watch Harry Potter or Twilight or some new thing
 
FYI, the first tracking numbers for Transformers 2 are estimating a $175 million 5-day opening.

Now tracking has been crazy off this year (way too high for some, too low for other), but this is probably pretty realistic. Episode III's 5-day opening was $172 million, Dark Knight did $204 million.
 
If that number holds then Trek will be done by the second Saturday July 4, 2009. We get a month on top:bolian:
 
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