Still, I wonder if publishers will take the time to print the books. Rare book collecting is never going away, that is true. But will I be able to get the new releases in 2025 on paper? They stopped printing in vinyl. They stopped making VHS tapes. Will they stop making paper books? Will it become cheaper to release them electronically than running a printing press? Will demand be so low for paper books that it isn't costly to print books?
We have seen this happen with all sorts of industries. The Newspaper, put out of business by the internet. CDs are going away in favor of music downloads and the CDs that are printed, aren't as plentiful anymore. Record stores went out of business. Paper book stores are already going the way of the cassette. Do people still have cassette decks? yes. But try getting a Bruno Mars cassette.
It's cheaper on Amazon, almost 50% cheaper, to get the Kindle file than the paper book. They aren't new, true. But does that mean thrifty consumers will suddenly want to shell out the initial cost (200 dollars, less than a computer) and get the files that are more convenient?
I wonder. Which is why, I have used one, but I don't own any electronic books. I don't want to support the industry that could kill paper books.
Well, vinyl is making a comeback, and while technological progress does lead to the elimination of some formats, this generation will continue to see print books. Book stores and libraries will continue to exist, though they will probably become more consolidated, and much of their inventories made available online.
In favor of the e-book:
* As for cost, you can get a Kindle for $79, and a Nook for $50, and I am
certain those prices will continue to fall as more and more e-readers are produced. Keep in mind, too, that e-book prices are artificially maintained.
* Amazon used to hold all ebook prices at 9.99, but as you can see if you visit their site, they can sometimes charge almost as much for the ebook as they do the print book. That means more money with less overhead.
* Authors may have better chances at being published if they go the e-book route. It costs little for Amazon to publish a new author and put their e-book up for sale online, and they get most of the immediate profits, which would motivate them to allow for many authors, which means more publishing, more e-books.
Against the e-book:
* What works against the e-format is that as long as you have enough light, a book is always ready to be read. E-readers lose power, they break, they can be wiped remotely. Of course, you have the word of their various manufacturers that they would never do such a thing, but Amazon has done this before.
* The more books that go exclusively online and into digital format don't leave a hardcopy for future generations. Technology becomes incompatible over time, and rarely is it future-proofed, as such future-proofing costs more money in the short term. So there is the possibility of losing vast swathes of written works due to a glitch in the system.
So there are pros and cons of each, but the technology is still so new, that I doubt it will be this generation, or the next, that will see the end of mass printed works. Don't worry, your book will still be available in paper format by 2025.
