TV Renewal/Axe List (February Sweeps)

[Jax]

We've just entered the 2nd month of the year and traditionally this is a important time of the year for struggling shows as pilots are picked up and come March the execs will want to start piecing together the next season of TV.

I put together a full list last night on my PC and I will have a thread for Feb/March and April if needed though by then i suspect we will be talking about the actual pickups/canned shows.

First part of my list...

ABC
Dancing with the Stars - Already renewed
Castle - Already renewed
Cougar Town - Already renewed
Grey's Anatomy - Already renewed
Private Practice - Already renewed
Modern Family - Already renewed
The Middle - Already renewed
The Bachelor - Likely to be renewed
Primetime: What Would You Do? - Likely to be renewed
Extreme Makeover: Home Edition - Likely to be renewed
Desperate Housewives - Likely to be renewed
Better with You - 50/50
No Ordinary Family - Likely to be cancelled
V - Likely to be cancelled
Detroit 1.8.7 - Likely to be cancelled
Off the Map - Likely to be cancelled
Brothers & Sisters - Likely to be cancelled
Skating with the Stars - Already cancelled
The Whole Truth - Already cancelled
My Generation - Already cancelled
Supernanny - Ending

-------------------------------------------------

CBS
Two & Half Men - Already renewed
The Big Bang Theory - Already renewed
How I Met You Mother - Likely to be renewed
Mike & Molly - Likely to be renewed
Hawaii Five 0 - Likely to be renewed
NCIS - Likely to be renewed
NCIS: LA - Likely to be renewed
Survivor - Likely to be renewed
Criminal Minds - Likely to be renewed
CSI - Likely to be renewed
The Mentalist - Likely to be renewed
Blue Bloods - Likely to be renewed
The Amazing Race - Likely to be renewed
Undercover Boss - Likely to be renewed
Rules of Engagement - 50/50
The Good Wife - 50/50
CSI: NY - 50/50
CSI: Miami - 50/50
Live to Dance - Likely to be cancelled
The Defenders - Likely to be cancelled
$#*! My Dad Says - Likely to be cancelled
Medium - Already cancelled

FOX, NBC and CW to come...

 

[I Grok Spock]

TV by the Numbers has some confirmed renewals not on your list.

 

[Jax]

TV by the Numbers has some confirmed renewals not on your list.

I've edited the confirmed pickups in my list. cheers

 

[bigdaddy]

Yeah the ABC comedies were renewed a few weeks ago, except for Better With You.

Well fine then it seems you fixed that when I commented!

 

[Jax]

FOX
Glee - Already renewed
Raising Hope - Already renewed
American Idol - Already renewed
Hells Kitchen - Already renewed
The Simpsons - Already renewed
American Dad - Already renewed
Family Guy - Already renewed
The Cleveland Show - Already renewed
House - Likely to be renewed
Bones - Likely to be renewed
Kitchen Nightmares - Likely to be renewed
Fringe - 50/50
Lie to Me - Likely to be cancelled
Million Dollar Money Drop - Likely to be cancelled
Human Target - Likely to be cancelled
The Good Guys - Already cancelled
Running Wilde - Already cancelled
Lone Star - Already cancelled

-------------------------------------------------

NBC
30 Rock - Already renewed
The Sing-Off - Likely to be renewed
The Biggest Loser - Likely to be renewed
Harry's Law - Likely to be renewed
Minute to Win It - Likely to be renewed
Law & Order: Special Victims Unit - Likely to be renewed
Law & Order: Los Angeles - Likely to be renewed
The Office - Likely to be renewed
Parks and Recreation - Likely to be renewed
Chuck - 50/50
Parenthood - 50/50
Community - 50/50
The Cape - Likely to be cancelled
The Event - Likely to be cancelled
Chase - Likely to be cancelled
Outsourced - Likely to be cancelled
Perfect Couples - Likely to be cancelled
Undercovers - Already cancelled
School Pride - Already cancelled
Outlaw - Already cancelled

 

[bigdaddy]

Brothers and Sisters I think is 50-50.

V I think MIGHT have a chance for a third and final season because it has a very very loyal but tiny fan base. I'd go 15-35% chance it comes back.

No Ordinary Family I think may have a chance if ABC does what they did with V last year, renew it just to save face.

Hawaii Five 0 I'd say 50-50

Rules of Engagement should be fine.

Law & Order: Los Angeles I think isn't as safe as it seems. They are trying to save the show and reboot it but it could fail.

 

[Captain Craig]

Is it just semantics or is there a reason for the seemingly similar terms you used in:
Unlikely to be renewed
Likely to be cancelled

The end result is the same, right?

 

[Canadave]

You think Fringe is still 50/50? Provided the numbers hold steady once again this week, I'd think it'd be virtually certain to be up for renewal.

 

[1001001]

FOX
Fringe - 50/50

I'm hoping the odds are better than that. *Fingers Crossed*

The Cape - Likely to be cancelled

Is it really doing that badly?

You see, this is why I record new shows for a while without watching them. I am so sick and tired of getting invested in serialized TV only to have the show cancelled with no proper ending. I have all episodes of The Cape on my DVR. I guess I'll wait until the final word.

The Event - Likely to be cancelled

See above.

 

[Jetfire]

^
The Cape gets above 5 million...but on a major network that doesn't cut it. I am not sure what the ideal demo is for The Cape...but I am sure NBC has let worse slide.

 

[Jax]

Brothers and Sisters I think is 50-50.

Hawaii Five 0 I'd say 50-50

Rules of Engagement should be fine.

Before christmas I had B&S at 50/50 but recent ratings and some of the ABC pilots in the works, make me think they are ready to pull the plug. It still may squeeze a 13 finale run as a midseason stop gap and personally I wanted ABC to move it to wednesdays 10pm to join the comedy night as theme wise, I think it would go well.

Hawaii Five 0 I had a 50/50 pre christmas but I think CBS are starting to settle down with it and unless I see a drop in ratings, I think it will see a 2nd season. Roe will live or die during its first two outings with TBBT.

Is it just semantics or is there a reason for the seemingly similar terms you used in:
Unlikely to be renewed
Likely to be cancelled

The end result is the same, right?

They all should be likely to cancelled I don't know why I did that, will change it.

You think Fringe is still 50/50? Provided the numbers hold steady once again this week, I'd think it'd be virtually certain to be up for renewal.

I won't upgrade Fringe past 50/50 until its aired against Supernatural and CSI NY at least twice in a row. Its doing good for NOW but I will wait and also this is FOX their weird.

 

[Temis the Vorta]

Wow this season is so bad that the only show on that list I care about one way or the other is V, which I want renewed so I can laugh at it.

Better luck next season, networks, as you rapidly slide into total irrelevance...

 

[Jax]

The Cape - Likely to be cancelled

Is it really doing that badly?

You see, this is why I record new shows for a while without watching them. I am so sick and tired of getting invested in serialized TV only to have the show cancelled with no proper ending. I have all episodes of The Cape on my DVR. I guess I'll wait until the final word.

Most sources I know off say The Cape is DEAD and I can't disagree. The demo is the key number and NBC are desperate but not that desprate. 1.5 is dreadful and it shows no sign of levelling off...

The Cape was dead when NBC decided to make that pilot rushed and uneven, it so needed to be 2 hour. Better writing would of helped too though in general

 

[Out Of My Vulcan Mind]

^
The Cape gets above 5 million...but on a major network that doesn't cut it. I am not sure what the ideal demo is for The Cape...but I am sure NBC has let worse slide.

Its demo has dropped with every new airing - from 2.6 to 1.8 to 1.6 to 1.5 - so it needs to recover fast, which doesn't look likely. Other shows with a similar number of viewers have been renewed by NBC, ABC and Fox, but their demos have been in the 1.9 to 2.0 range. A show with a demo of 1.5 is a goner on NBC.

 

[Jetfire]

@Jax
Which sucks because the last 2 eps have been alot better than the Pilot, Tarot & Kozmo combined.

 

[Jax]

A show with a demo of 1.5 is a goner on NBC.

If Chuck's next ratings are like last night's then I will downgrade Chuck to "Likely to be cancelled". It was airing against CBS repeats too

 

[Jetfire]

NBC & CW might as well be the same network...they both only have a handful of shows that are worth a damn.

 

[gh4chiefs]

You see, this is why I record new shows for a while without watching them. I am so sick and tired of getting invested in serialized TV only to have the show cancelled with no proper ending. I have all episodes of The Cape on my DVR. I guess I'll wait until the final word.

I'm taking that approach with all new shows next year, especially on CBS. Just no point in getting interested in them until you know they have some staying power. In fact, I don't plan on watching any new shows until they're confirmed as renewed.

 

[Captain Craig]

A show with a demo of 1.5 is a goner on NBC.

If Chuck's next ratings are like last night's then I will downgrade Chuck to "Likely to be cancelled". It was airing against CBS repeats too

In all honesty hasn't Chuck been the most consistent show to survive that every year felt like it was "likely to be cancelled".
Has any of its seasons ended and TV followers felt confident it was coming back?

 

[Candlelight]

The Event - Likely to be cancelled

Funny. This lasted 4 weeks on tv in New Zealand before being taken off.

It's like being dumped by the most insignificant guy in high school.