I still think the failure of Nemesis, particularly on that opening weekend, had more to do with fan frustration over Enterprise, and boycotting the opening was the only form of protest left that Berman and Co. couldn't ignore. That Nemesis was unable to recover from that lousy opening weekend is purely because it was a lousy movie.
A fan boycott caused
Nemesis to fail?
Nemesis failed because of marketing and a crowded release calendar, not because fans boycotted the film.
Christmas 2002 had three tentpole genre films --
Two Towers,
Chamber of Secrets, and
Die Another Day.
Nemesis didn't stand out in that field.
I think it also failed because Paramount has been extremely slow in adapting to and adopting the multimedia synergy that is typical of major tentpole films today. The three films named above were more than just movies in the theater. There were video game tie-ins for all three. There were restaurant promotions. There were toys, statues, etc.
Nemesis had none of that. Activision's lawsuit was aimed at that; Activision wanted to make a
Nemesis game, because they'd had success with movie tie-in games like
Spider-Man the year previous. Paramount said no. Paramount didn't fucking get it. The movie is just one
part of the revenue and cultural stream. The movie isn't
all of the revenue and cultural stream. Ten years earlier, five years earlier,
Nemesis would have been fine. Maybe not a blockbuster, but not a failure, either.
For what it's worth, I think that
Nemesis isn't a terrible film. It's not a great film, it's often not even very good. But it at least has ambition, which is more than can be said of its three
TNG predecessors.