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RUSSIA vs ASTEROID

If I may pose a question ... what are the chances that the asteroid would actually change it's direction dead to Earth as a result of this attempt at deflection?

Thats why I think this is idea is an Irwin Allen idea in the making...

Rob
 
I assume that, if something goes wrong with the mission, the orbit of the asteroid may be altered. There's no saying it'll be altered to impact Earth, though. Maybe it'll move farther away from us instead.

Besides, the spacecraft needs to be near the asteroid, or in contact with it, to affect it anyway. Looking at previous Russian mission failures, the biggest chance is that the craft won't reach orbit, won't be able to leave Earth orbit, or won't do its job at the asteroid.

If something goes wrong, that is.
 
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8435829.stm

Apparently, the russians know that the asteroid won't hit Earth. They want to deflect it as test for an asteroid-deflecting method. And, if the mission comes to pass, it will most likely be an international one.

PS: There's a lot of pro-american, anti-russian bias on this thread. And I say this as someone who doesn't like Russia and its policies.
 
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8435829.stm

Apparently, the russians know that the asteroid won't hit Earth. They want to deflect it as test for an asteroid-deflecting method. And, if the mission comes to pass, it will most likely be an international one.

PS: There's a lot of pro-american, anti-russian bias on this thread. And I say this as someone who doesn't like Russia and its policies.

what if they make it MORE likely to hit us. Thats what i'm wondering. And I am not anti-russia at all...

Rob
 
I'm very curious to see what method they plan to use. No one has experience with the solar sails mentioned in the article and I don't see how brute force can be applied apart from a single impact which would leave the spacecraft vaporised (think the Deep Impact mission).
That is an option, obviously, but it would mean putting all your eggs in one basket. You have a single chance, and it wouldn't require much testing. NASA can do that and any nation with ICBMs can throw things at other things.
 
I doubt the mission is really about deflecting the asteroid, more like a demonstration of Soviet Power. A sail doesn't make a statement; a rocket does.
 
Obviously the Russians have been taken over by Doctor Evil and he's going to shift the Asteroids course so it will strike Earth so he can hold the world to ransom for 1 Beeelion dollaaaars.
 
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