There's still a stigma on straight-to-home movie releases and I wonder why that is
Because if you have something good enough to make it on the big screen, that's where you put it, because if you have a big screen hit, you make more money than any other media option. Hence direct-to-DVD is an admission that you don't have what it takes to play in the big leagues. It would have been okay for Trek before Abrams revitalized the brand, but it's not going to fly now. Trek will be premium or nothing from now on.
I think it would by a highly profitable venture for a TNG send off
It would be peanuts compared with the big screen and it would drag down the Star Trek brand. Nobody with the power to greenlight anything is at all interested in TNG. It has the stink of failure on it, and that is a smell Hollywood finds immensely offensive. To them, TNG has already been "sent off" to the garbage heap of failure.
Abrams' Trek is it for now. TNG flopped horribly*; Abrams' Trek succeeded magnificently. Hollywood isn't going to pay attention to anything more nuanced than that stark success-or-failure dichotomy. I don't think Trek will leave the 23rd C for quite some time; all the series except for TOS will be largely forgotten (maybe Abrams & crew will find it amusing to resurrect/recast EMH or Kira Nerys some day, but I wouldn't hold my breath); and cheapo approaches like direct to DVD or direct to download are off the table.
*The most recent thing TNG did was to flop horribly. Previous success does not count. Remember the Hollywood motto: What have you done for me
lately?\
Once something goes direct to DVD it never comes back
Hey I love Futurama, but A-list property it is most definitely NOT!
That's an almost outdated notion. The dvd/bluray landscape is changing, my friend... get on board. Scheduled network televison is slowly becoming a dinosaur.
It's not an outdated notion at all. And why are you talking TV? This is big-screen summer blockbuster vs direct to DVD crap. As for TV, that's where Trek belongs, and it's hardly a dinosaur. Americans are watching more TV than ever. You may have heard network TV is failing, but that's due to viewers shifting to cable. I don't care if Trek ends up on a basic cable channel vs network. Who makes any distinction between them anymore?
A DVD movie or mini-series would require only a small percentage of feature-film profitability to be in the black...
You're looking at this the wrong way. Envision CBS considering a project to capitalize on their Star Trek property. They don't ask themselves, can we make this profitable. They ask themselves, will this be more profitable than the dozens of other things we could spend our time, resources and personnel on instead? CBS is doing just fine with its lineup of police procedurals. Why do Trek when doing another CSI lineup is a surer and safer way to make a buck? As for Paramount, they're in the summer blockbuster business. Why would they waste a moment on small potatoes like direct to DVD?
But the real way to look at this is - envision the people who will be championing Trek, or not. How is that going to help their career? Because really, that's what it comes down to - somebody who picks up the notion of direct-to-DVD Trek as a career boost. I can't envision anyone thinking that suggesting direct-to-DVD for a premium brand name is going to do anything but make them look like a clueless chump. Nobody going to do it, so it's not going to happen.