Thursday (6/18) Box Office - Trek #6 - $0.75 million

[Franklin]

Over the last few years, movies in the $240 to $245 million range are anywhere from 4th to 6th for their years. The neat thing is remembering, as Scott Hayden showed above, this is how popular the better Trek movies (TMP, TWOK, TVH) used to be. That's nothing to sneeze at. You're top five for a year, and you're usually running up there with some other pretty good movies. Kinda proves Trek's back.
And, if Abrams and the others can go where no other Trek movie makers have gone before, put back-to-back equally good movies together, the box office for XII may be even higher.

 

[Jeri]

First Contact ended in 17th place in 1996 domestically. Only four trek movies has ended in top ten. Star Trek will probably end in 5th to 7th place.
ST:TMP 4th in 1979
TWOK 5th in 1982
TSFS 8th in 1984
TVH 5th in 1986

Interesting; thanks!

 

[cooleddie74]

Yeah, HP will be a monster... might even beat Tr2...

Hasn't it already? Didn't T2 top out at about $220 million?

 

[Borgminister]

Yeah, HP will be a monster... might even beat Tr2...

Hasn't it already? Didn't T2 top out at about $220 million?

Yeah, but I meant Transformers 2...

Just speculating.

 

[cooleddie74]

Yeah, HP will be a monster... might even beat Tr2...

Hasn't it already? Didn't T2 top out at about $220 million?

Yeah, but I meant Transformers 2...

Just speculating.

Either way...I hope TREK wins out in the end. The first TRANSFORMERS wasn't all that to begin with and just one long two-hour toy commercial.

 

[MvRojo]

Final Numbers actually increased a little: $751,431

 

[Borgminister]

Hasn't it already? Didn't T2 top out at about $220 million?

Yeah, but I meant Transformers 2...

Just speculating.

Either way...I hope TREK wins out in the end. The first TRANSFORMERS wasn't all that to begin with and just one long two-hour toy commercial.

I don't get it either... 2.5 hours (more in IMAX) of more violent, metal on metal action, with the thinnest of plot lines.

Of the two movies, I'd much rather see the latest Harry Potter installment, if only for nostalgia reasons, in that I read all but the last book to my son...

Remember, Iron Man made over 300 million. The two films above will do close to that if not more--they are very front loaded.

No matter how strong the legs, I can't see Star Trek making it anywhere near 250, let alone 300.

But the next one will...

 

[Jeri]

Every time I hear Shia say in the preview that so-and-so "...wants what's' in my mind..." I have to wonder. They're supposed to be putting the good lines in the previews.

 

[Borgminister]

Final Numbers actually increased a little: $751,431

YES!

Okay, let's hope Father's Day is good for a few more hundred thousand over the weekend...

 

[Flake]

Trek is dropping at 30% per week, if it carries on dropping at 30% it will reach 250 million in 4 weeks and finish with $254 million, the big big big test is how well it can do vs Transformers........

I think 40% drops from here are more likely which would mean about $247 Million, however if Transformers hits it REALLY hard then $243-245 would be the result. (45-50% drops)

 

[Jbarney]

Wow. 234, 700,000 going into the weekend. Great numbers.

 

[MvRojo]

Trek is dropping at 30% per week, if it carries on dropping at 30% it will reach 250 million in 4 weeks and finish with $254 million, the big big big test is how well it can do vs Transformers........

I think 40% drops from here are more likely which would mean about $247 Million, however if Transformers hits it REALLY hard then $243-245 would be the result. (45-50% drops)

It dropped 23% this week compared to last Mon-Thur.

 

[Daneel]

All good, all good...

I'm sure Transformers: ROTF will rake in massive amounts of cash, despite the negative advance buzz. After all, unfavourable reviews certainly didn't hurt the Star Wars prequels any. Plus, a lot of people I've talked to seem to have greatly enjoyed the first Transformers, regardless of what the critics said (I personally didn't think it was all that great myself... although I suppose it's passably entertaining in a "shut your brain off for a couple hours" kind of way), and I have a feeling they'll flock to this one as a result.

I also think Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince will be another monster hit, unless Potter-mania has died down considerable since 2007 (when the last book and the 5th film were both released).

I'm fairly certain both films will handily beat Trek at the box office. As for current ones, Up stands a good chance of doing so as well... maybe The Hangover too. With regards to movies coming out later this year, I'm going to wait until I see some trailers and advanced reviews for Avatar before I make a judgement call on that one.

 

[Flake]

As for overseas the drops are accelerating, assuming they stay at 45% weekly drops the overseas total will end at $127 Million.

So the final guestimate for worldwide is imho is $374 Million dollars.

Better than Batman Begins, which is what I set the benchmark at in my mind

Now the next big test is definitely going to be the DVD sales.

 

[Flake]

Trek is dropping at 30% per week, if it carries on dropping at 30% it will reach 250 million in 4 weeks and finish with $254 million, the big big big test is how well it can do vs Transformers........

I think 40% drops from here are more likely which would mean about $247 Million, however if Transformers hits it REALLY hard then $243-245 would be the result. (45-50% drops)

It dropped 23% this week compared to last Mon-Thur.

I am including the weekend figures. 7-Day grosses, Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon/Tue/Wed/Thu It was something like 12 Million last week and now its 8 Million.

30% Drops:
8.40 234.75
5.88 240.63
4.12 244.75
2.88 247.63
2.02 249.64
1.41 251.06
0.99 252.04
0.69 252.74
0.48 253.22
0.34 253.56
0.24 253.80

 

[Borgminister]

Trek is dropping at 30% per week, if it carries on dropping at 30% it will reach 250 million in 4 weeks and finish with $254 million, the big big big test is how well it can do vs Transformers........

I think 40% drops from here are more likely which would mean about $247 Million, however if Transformers hits it REALLY hard then $243-245 would be the result. (45-50% drops)

It dropped 23% this week compared to last Mon-Thur.

I am including the weekend figures. 7-Day grosses, Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon/Tue/Wed/Thu It was something like 12 Million last week and now its 8 Million.

30% Drops:
8.40 234.75
5.88 240.63
4.12 244.75
2.88 247.63
2.02 249.64
1.41 251.06
0.99 252.04
0.69 252.74
0.48 253.22
0.34 253.56
0.24 253.80

Can Chatman's charts chart that?

Seriously, that would be a stellar stage left exit after numerous ovations...

 

[Squiggy]

Chartman does not know what to make of these numbers. What is this thing I'm seeing?

 

[Borgminister]

Big bars (week-to-week earnings) minus the little bars (daily earnings) in between.

Yes. I'm a translator.

 

[Squiggy]

 

[trampledamage]

Nice curves, Chartman!