I have my own personal canon to make sense of the changes and time line.
Finally a man who thinks along lines similar to my own! I also have some kind of own continuity/canon in the back of my head to work out minor kinks I happen to stumble over... also, I'm a master of self-made retcons (that's something I learned while reading the books of Daniel Wallace, Star Wars' chief historian - he can straighten out any mess, I can tell you).
All in all, we should be intelligent and responsible enough to find out some solutions on our own instead of trying to stick slavishly to the sometimes sparse information we got. These solutions might be right or wrong, but they will work until some official solution comes along eventually. Just for fun, I pulled two different solutions for Wormhole's U.S.S. Kelvin registry problem out of my hat (and he even liked one of them)...
I believe that when Picard and crew went back into time to help Zefram Cochrane with his warp flight they inadvertently gave him too much knowledge of the future so things became more advanced sooner than they originally had been in the original time line.
I, too, believe that there is not only one official chronology Star Trek fans know/think to know. There might be one consistent timeline, but it meandered between different parallel universes throughout Trek's forty-plus years... only this way differing tech levels, different-looking secondary characters (Zephram Cochrane) et al. can be explained.
So unless this new story does something to contradict that theory I will stick with that new theory.
And I will stick to mine.
So in this alternate time line if The Cage never happens then it won't bother me one bit.
Me neither...
It already happened in one timeline and I can watch it on DVD any time I want - now I want to see new stuff (as long as it's consistent with Star Trek's spirit)!

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