Just like ENT, they'll start off with good intentions but they'll get boxed in and fuck up everything.
The inherent problem with prequels is that audiences already know the outcome of the broader saga. So with that in mind, prequels must be absolutely excellent with detailing and execution. When that doesn't happen, writers will just retcon pre-established lore and people just ignore it, at best.
With Trek, this problem is amplified by a factor of infinity.
Which is a lot.
Ding dind ding. We have a winner!
Everyone loves to fill in the blanks of a good story. How did Anakin Skywalker become Darth Vader? How did Michael Myers become a serial killer? What happened to the Potter-universe in the past?
But it is very rarely interesting to see how others imagined those blank spaces inbetween. Personally, I never was interested in neither Axanar or the Star Wars prequels.
Sure, this show still has potential. But nobody will be watching, wondering how the story unfolds in the grand scheme of things. But every single detail and reference to existing canon will be put under immense scrutinity by the fans, and compared in detail against how one self imagined these events.
Add to that that half of Trek lore is unavailable -no Romulans, no Borg, no holodecks, no replicators, no Ferengi, no tractor beams, no Cardassians, no Kirk/Spock references (other than obscure ones), no site-to-site beaming. No major timetravel events, no discoveries that would change the universe. Add to THAT that the writers aren't allowed to introduce new, game-changing technologies like all Trek series did previously. No drones, no robots, no wheeled vehicles. No augments, no artifial intelligence on a level as Data.
Basically the original series had "status quo is god" written at the end of every episode. This series will have written "status quo is god" RIGHT FROM THE BEGINING FOR THE WHOLE SERIES. Whatever any major themes any previous Trek series had focused on - they are forced to avoid that.
Man, Fuller&crew REALLY need to knock it out of the park, right from the beginning. No first season to "learn" or improve, no mistakes allowed, otherwise the series is as dead as Enterprise after the first season.
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