That all said, I still stand by my opinion Frakes won't get it.
But going back to my earlier post, who would want to do it? Who's available to do it? Who has the experience of Trek?
With Abrams tied up doing Star Wars, Frakes may end up being the only viable choice. Look what happened when Paramount put Nemesis in the hands of Stuart Baird, someone with no experience of Star Trek. Now to be fair to him, the script was hogwash. He had very little to work with. I don't think there was ever much wrong with his direction per se. Marina's on record as saying the main cast where happy with the script for Nemesis, but they all hated the film. There's something wrong there.
The next Trek film will live and die by the story and the script, not by a director who may only be so so. Abrams had never done Trek, but the first reboot was successful because it had a good script, something which can't be said for Into Darkness.
At least, the new Bond movie allegedly has some massive script problems that make the as yet unwritten Star Trek XIII look like a masterpiece.
You don't NEED Trek experience to make a good Trek movie. Meyer didn't have any nor any particular love of the source material when he did TWOK. It's more about finding a talented director who is a good fit for the material and not someone who wants to make it into something it's not.
I can't believe I am actually agreeing with Maurice on something, but he's absolutely right, there. There are tons of directors out there that have zero sci fi, let alone, Star Trek experience that they can choose from.
I think a clean slate of a director has a far better chance than Frakes does.
I personally wouldn't mind if Frakes got the job, but I would be very surprised if he did. First, the guy is like 20 years Orci's and Abrams' senior. To them, he's an old, has been. They are not interested in anything Frakes has to say. I mainly believe that the reason Frakes won't get the job is because of politics.
They don't want anyone who had anything do do with the Berman/Braga era. It may not be fair, but because Frakes was the first of the spin off actors to get a shot at directing, he IS of that era. I think the next director will be someone with close ties with Abrams or Orci, (or)
that has done work with them. May or may not be an unknown,
but I think they are going to get someone they believe is a team player and will direct in a way that carries out the material written they way they want it directed and produced. Not someone who has been on record of wanting to bring back a series spun off from the TNG era, like Frakes is, and has their own ideas what Star Trek ought to be.