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The Weather Bureau

Miss Chicken

Little three legged cat with attitude
Admiral
According to the weather report on my iGoogle page it is currently 0 Celsius in Hobart and it is mostly cloudy. The source is the Department of Meterology.

I looked out the window. It is a sunny day, blue skies and very few clouds. I went outside and it felt like 0 Celsius might be right. A brisk day.

Do you put much faith in the Weather Bureau or do you have a better way to determine what the weather is going to be?
 
Don't really pay that muc attention to weather forecasts. If it rains it rains, if the sun decideds to come out, it comes out.
 
The most reliable weather forecast for me is to look out at the window at the mountain. It is rather easy to determine what the day is going to be like by the amount of cloud around the mountain, or if there is any snow, how low down it is on the mountain.

Today the mountain top is clearly visible with very little cloud and a light dusting of snow on the top. It is going to be a nice, sunny winter's day. It is about 10.30am here and the temperature has already risen to 3 C.

The Weather Bureau is now saying we currently have scattered clouds rather than mostly cloudy. Someone must have stuck his head out of the window.
 
I look at the radar more than I listen to the actual forecasts. At least with the radar I can see rain clouds coming.
 
I've seen different current temps from 5 different sources. weather.com, accuweather.com, weatherbug app, Windows 7 weather gadget & the object dock weather gadget.

The worst is the Weatherbug app on my phone. It's been as much as 10 degrees F over what it actually was at a given point.

I see the same variation as far as predicted temps & weather go from those sources, so your guess is as good as theirs.
 
In my experience, AccuWeather is the worst. I've started using the Weather Channel app, and it seems much more reliable.
 
I am an engineer and tend to work in the field on and off during construction season. I loosely pay attention to the forecast, but just keep whatever gear is appropriate in my car.

Rain gear, sun gear, bug spray, sun tan lotion, etc.
 
The only time I really care about the weather forecasts is when the local stations are on "storm watch", but then it's mostly about floods in the area or what is happening with all the snow in Sierra Nevada. I do watch the regular forecasts but being a weatherman really is a crapshoot job.
 
I live and die by the weather for my profession... In actuality, I've always been facinated by it and kicked myself for going into sports journalism in college rather than meteorology...

But with wildfire, EVERYTHING depends on the weather... Davros, you know this all too well, right now, I'm afraid...

I participate in weekly webinars with the National Weather Service, pour over daily forecasts and fire weather outlooks from our Fire Predictive Service in Albuquerque, and have all kinds of weather notifications... I'm kind of obsessed, I think.

And when it gets right down to it, IF you pay attention every day and pat attention to the daily variables in weather, most do a pretty good job... Predicting more than 3 days out is a gamble at best...

Most 5 to 7 or 10 day outlooks are based on a bunch of probabilities thrown together by a computer model.. The models can sometimes vary widely, so forecasters look at whichever models are most similar and consistant and go from there. It's all based on TV ratings, of course.. People want to know NOW, what the weather's going to be like in a week, not caring that in two or three days, the entire forecast is likely to change.
 
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