how many #1s

[RobertScorpio]

Its hard for a movie, in the summer especially, to stay number one for more than a week. I think IRONMAN and BATMAN did this, this summer. Knowing what some of you know about the releases around Trek, can it keep the stop slot for more than one week..and if not, who knocks it off? Wolverine?

Rob
Scorpio

 

[MattJC]

I can already tell it's a #2.

 

[Utopianvista]

Don't be surprised if it doesn't even open #1 in its first weekend of release. Its scheduled to go against three new releases along with the 2nd weekend of Wolverine.

There is ZERO chance it stays #1 for two weeks in a row. It's going to get demolished by Angels and Demons and Bruno.

After that comes Terminator and Night the Museum II. It'll be toast by then.

 

[RobertScorpio]

Don't be surprised if it doesn't even open #1 in its first weekend of release. Its scheduled to go against three new releases along with the 2nd weekend of Wolverine.

There is ZERO chance it stays #1 for two weeks in a row. It's going to get demolished by Angels and Demons and Bruno.

After that comes Terminator and Night the Museum II. It'll be toast by then.

I wouldn't count on that...the sequel to Devinci may not open as well...and JJ is one heck of a PR man. He turned a B MOVIE (Cloverfield) into a bonafied hit....I say TREK opens at number 1...

As for wolvering? Bad buzz coming from the set of that movie...so we shall see about that movie too..

Rob

 

[datas_cat_spot]

My prediction:

Wolverine will only have one weekend at the top and under perform.
Trek will take over for two weeks beating Angels and Demons.
I'm not sure what will happen by the time Terminator comes out. I know Terminator will beat out A&D in it's first week. If Trek has good word of mouth, it can maintain the lead through Terminator's release. Otherwise it'll end up at #2 in it's third week. Night at the Museum will probably bomb, not sure about what Land of the Lost will do.

 

[Python Trek]

I can't see a Trek movie doing big box office ever again, unless Spielberg or Lucas directs it. Abrams is a god in the world of fanboys, but his name recognition with the general public is just about zilch. The Trek brand has a huge recognition factor, but with people over thirty, it has a negative image. The movie'll make its money back, plus a few bucks extra, and Abrams' next project will be to re-boot Buck Rogers or Soylent Green or The Wizard of Oz or some shit...

 

[Lumen]

It's too soon to tell, but the slate looks like it only has a shot at taking #1 on opening weekend.

 

[Tom]

This film will have a total domestic gross of 348 million, I went ahead in the future to see.

 

[datas_cat_spot]

I can't see a Trek movie doing big box office ever again, unless Spielberg or Lucas directs it. Abrams is a god in the world of fanboys, but his name recognition with the general public is just about zilch. The Trek brand has a huge recognition factor, but with people over thirty, it has a negative image. The movie'll make its money back, plus a few bucks extra, and Abrams' next project will be to re-boot Buck Rogers or Soylent Green or The Wizard of Oz or some shit...

Nah. He actually does have name recognition mostly from TV (LOST is fairly popular I hear). Incidentally they just showed the teaser during FRINGE.

But Abrams isn't what sells the movie anyway, it has to sell itself as a sci-fi POTC franchise, and likely will. I don't think Wolverine's marketing will even come close to matching up, it already is failing miserably. Terminator is actually the biggest threat.

 

[shapeshifter]

I'll guess 2 weeks but what matters to me is not how many 1's it has but how long it stays at the theater. I hope I can, if I felt like it, still find screenings of it in say, early August.

Too hopeful?

 

[datas_cat_spot]

I'll guess 2 weeks but what matters to me is not how many 1's it has but how long it stays at the theater. I hope I can, if I felt like it, still find screenings of it in say, early August.

Too hopeful?

Yeah... I think August might be a little hopeful. There are like 8 or 9 fairly big movies between Trek's release and then. If it's any consolation, there won't be any movie ruling the BO for more that a couple weeks aside from possibly Harry Potter.

 

[Python Trek]

This film will have a total domestic gross of 348 million, I went ahead in the future to see.

So YOU'RE Future Guy!

Seriously, though---Harry Potter will clean Trek XI's clock.