Short and to the point. This being a board for things science fiction a short poll. Do you believe in aliens or not? Nothing fancy, just 3 options but feel free to offer your own thoughts and or comments.
Sorry, I don't. As much I love watching all forms of extraterrestrial creatures done by the best visual artists out there, I don't believe they're humanoids out there. They are lifeforms like alien form of plants or some organism but Intelligent life??? I don't believe so.
Yes, simply based on Drake, but too far away from us
oh I think in a star system with the right level of stability (not too stable but definately not too violent), the right chemistry (including that elusive phosphorus), then single cell life, or something even more basic like "RNA world" life, is probably very common. But a billion years of life on earth was spent in the single-cell era, and it doesn't seem to be some kind of given that life must evolve from that. And there are a lot of major unknowns out there when you step out of the "As we know it" zone.See alien life doesn't necessarily mean "aliens" like walking and talking aliens but could include planets with lots of plant or animal life, they'd still be aliens technically even if they can't build spaceships or wonder about the stars like we do. I think there's a more then fair chance of worlds like that out there.
I still want to hear from that no voter. I want the other side of the argument
That would be me...eternal pessimist. Besides--there has to be a first. We may be it.
Here's one version of the basic idea summarised in a paper by Alexander Berezin:So you think that we might be the first civilization?
Can you elaborate on this idea?
“First in, last out” solution to the Fermi Paradox: what if the first life that reaches interstellar travel capability necessarily eradicates all competition to fuel its own expansion?
I am not suggesting that a highly developed civilization would consciously wipe out other lifeforms. Most likely, they simply won’t notice, the same way a construction crew demolishes an anthill to build real estate because they lack incentive to protect it. And even if the individuals themselves try their best to be cautious, their von Neumann probes probably don’t.
This problem is similar to the infamous “Tragedy of the commons”. The incentive to grab all available resources is strong, and it only takes one bad actor to ruin the equilibrium, with no possibility to prevent them from appearing at interstellar scale. One rogue AI can potentially populate the entire supercluster with copies of itself, turning every solar system into a
supercomputer, and there is no use asking why it would do that. All that matters is that it can.
I always think a sufficient level of technology or technology with the potential to run out of control is a great filter type
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