UK Prime Minister May calls for snap election.

Discussion in 'Miscellaneous' started by MacLeod, Apr 18, 2017.

  1. Relayer1

    Relayer1 Admiral Admiral

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  2. Asbo Zaprudder

    Asbo Zaprudder Admiral Admiral

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    She'd better not turn out to be Eastern European...
     
  3. Relayer1

    Relayer1 Admiral Admiral

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    I wouldn't have the nerve to ask her to be honest...
     
  4. Asbo Zaprudder

    Asbo Zaprudder Admiral Admiral

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    S&M isn't my thing. I'm more M&S.
     
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  5. Relayer1

    Relayer1 Admiral Admiral

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    Welcome to middle age.

    Have you seen the remote control anywhere ?
     
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  6. Asbo Zaprudder

    Asbo Zaprudder Admiral Admiral

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    I've been middle aged for 20 years. Maybe you need one of those holsters that hook over your chair arm. I was perusing one in a shop just the other day. Too many bloody remotes. I did try a 1-4-all remote but I found there were some operations/devices it just couldn't emulate.
     
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  7. Brefugee

    Brefugee No longer living the Irish dream. Premium Member

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    I wouldn't be surprised if this General Election thing was down to elevated Glucose Levels.
     
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  8. Asbo Zaprudder

    Asbo Zaprudder Admiral Admiral

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    From my experience with working with people with type 1 diabetics, perhaps hypo rather than hyper is more likely. Is hypo not more likely after a vigorous country walk? Anyway, apologies if this speculation causes offence but behaviour is affected by blood sugar levels even in non diabetics.
     
  9. Spot261

    Spot261 Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Apparently Corbyn is now a "Mutton headed Mugwumps"
     
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2017
  10. Brefugee

    Brefugee No longer living the Irish dream. Premium Member

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    I have found and my wife has too, that at the lower end of the spectrum, I'm fine, it's just as my Glucose Levels go over 13 or 14 that it subtly changes.

    And as for the hypo after a walk, it depends on how well May handles her Glucose Levels, if she is already higher than optimum, it can go even higher than rather going lower.
     
  11. Asbo Zaprudder

    Asbo Zaprudder Admiral Admiral

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    The original meaning of "mugwump" among Massachusetts Indians was "war leader". In American current usage, it means "a person who remains aloof or independent, especially from party politics".

    It's all a lot of whiff-whaff.
     
  12. Spot261

    Spot261 Vice Admiral Admiral

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    I'm calling shenanigans on all this tomfoolery.
     
  13. Relayer1

    Relayer1 Admiral Admiral

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  14. TommyR01D

    TommyR01D Captain Captain

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    Parliament sat for the last time yesterday.

    Following the European Union referendum, there was a lot of newspaper noise about the old generation "betraying" their grandchildren, in reference to the disparity in voting between young and old voters.

    This can also be seen in the 2015 general election.

    The following data is from a House of Commons research paper, showing a population estimate for 2015, sorted by age range (numbers show millions of people).
    • 0-14: 12.231
    • 15-29: 12.619
    • 30-44: 12.545
    • 45-59: 13.018
    • 60-74: 9.079
    • 75+: 5.388
    The category boundaries are not ideal for this test but if we make a crude assumption that people are evenly spread through age groups we can break down the 30-44 category into 8.363 million aged 30-39 and 4.182 million aged 40-45.

    That gives us 33.213 million aged 0-39 and 31.667 aged 40+. Obviously the younger group includes children who can't vote, so let's eliminate the 0-14 category and break down the 15-29 to eliminate minors. That brings the <40 electorate down to 18.458 million.

    If turnout is consistent, the over 40 vote is roughly 70% larger than the youth vote. Of course we know from most analysis that the turnout among old people is significantly higher than that among the young.
     
  15. Paul Weaver

    Paul Weaver Vice Admiral Premium Member

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    Turnout is higher for older people for several reasons - including people falling off the register when they move, something which happens a lot for young people (especially while at university).
     
  16. MacLeod

    MacLeod Admiral Admiral

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    If anyone is interested some voting stats for the 2015 GE

    https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3575/How-Britain-voted-in-2015.aspx

    As expected it shows a lower pecentage of young people voting than older people.

    University students don't drop off the GE register if they are already on it when they move. They remain registered at their home address so they have several options open to them

    1.>Be at home for a GE
    2.>Request a mail vote
    3.>Vote by Proxy
    4.>Register for a GE at their student address.

    As soon as I was able to vote I did so and have voted at every opportuunity I could except once. If you don't vote don't complain about the result.
     
  17. TommyR01D

    TommyR01D Captain Captain

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  18. TommyR01D

    TommyR01D Captain Captain

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    Okay so using MacLeod's link and the 2011 census (again with some crude re-bordering):

    • 18-24: 5,895,800*0.43 = 2,535,194 votes
    • 25-34: 8,433,000*0.54 = 4,553,820 votes
    • 35-39: 4,194,000*0.64 = 2,684,160 votes
    • 40-44: 4,626,000*0.64 = 2,960,640 votes
    • 45-54: 8,738,000*0.72 = 6,291,360 votes
    • 55-64: 7,421,000*0.77 = 5,714,170 votes
    • >=65:10,376,000*0.78 = 8,093,280 votes
    Then merge them into two big blocks
    • 18-39: 9,773,174 votes
    • 40ys+: 23,059,450 votes
    Divide the latter by the former and you get 2.359.
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2017
  19. Relayer1

    Relayer1 Admiral Admiral

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    Sooner or later you would expect all these 'bright young things' to realise what the pensioners have known for ages.

    If you vote, you get looked after, if you don't, you get screwed over to pay for the other lot...
     
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  20. TommyR01D

    TommyR01D Captain Captain

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    They do, but by then they're not bright young things anymore.