Anyway, what's a proportional retaliatory strike is debatable. You and a few others think that the destruction of the Bird of Prey is sufficient. I disagree.
I think if the Romulans attacked a couple of outposts in the middle of nowhere (like Amargosa Observatory and one of those little relay stations with like 2 ppl on it), I'd agree that pursuing and destroying the Romulan ship responsible is sufficient reprisal.
But I think the loss of a strategically important outpost that is clearly in Federation or allied space is sufficient cause for war (Neutral Zone Outposts, Deep Space 9)
Really? 'Cause the thing is, a full-on war would cost the Federation millions of lives and endanger hundreds of worlds. Whereas, those outposts were very lightly staffed and look easy to re-establish (and to re-enforce defenses for). Seems to me that destroying the bird-of-prey, increasing starship patrols of the Neutral Zone, and re-establishing the outposts would be a lot better for Federation security and Federation lives than launching a retaliatory invasion of Romulan space.
The map in "Balance of Terror" showed seven outposts along the Neutral Zone. Three of them were destroyed.
"Balance of Terror" also established that the Neutral Zone was a light-year wide, and the Zone took up a large percentage of that map. That means that that map only displayed a small part of the larger Federation-Romulan border -- there are almost certainly dozens upon dozens of similar outposts along the Neutral Zone that went unharmed.
If North Korea crossed the DMZ and wiped out 3/7ths of the US-South Korean troops guarding the DMZ, I think they would go to war over that too.
Well, first off, as I just pointed out above, your comparison is inaccurate. It would be the equivalent of destroying three small, lightly-manned outposts along the DMZ out of dozens, not of killing three-sevenths of all DMZ-stationed troops.
As for whether that would lead to war, I think that that would depend on a lot of things, actually. A war in the Korean peninsula right now would be fairly disastrous for all sides -- frankly, nobody there has the military capacity for a full-scale war without guaranteeing themselves a pyrrhic victory, if that. Because of that fact, all three sides have powerful incentives to avoid full-scale war even if they engage in minor skirmishes.
Also, the West Wing episode is slightly different in that the Federation is not the only superpower. The United States clearly has much greater military strength than Syria. But Starfleet is probably on par with the Romulan military.
I don't think that's likely at all, especially after the Romulans had isolated themselves from the rest of the galaxy for nearly a century prior to that. Given the relative sizes of the various interstellar states as established in DS9 and later in
Star Trek: Star Charts, I'd say a far fairer comparison to the modern day would be the United States (Federation) and the People's Republic of China (Romulans). China's an impressive military power, but it's still not as powerful as the U.S.
The Federation can't afford to show weakness to enemy like that.
Why do people always prattle on about how "we can't afford to show weakness?" It's always predicated on this notion that the enemy itself is irrationally hostile and belligerent rather than a rational political actor. Were the Romulans testing the Federation? Yes. Does that mean they planned to invade the Federation if they thought their cloaking and plasma energy cannon technologies were tactically superior? Not necessarily; it could just as easily be that they wanted simply to see if
they were secure from what they perceived as a threat of
Federation aggression. The enemy can be as paranoid about showing weakness to you for fear of your aggression as you can be of him.
That's why it's important not to jump to conclusions, not to decide that every enemy is another Adolf Hitler waiting in the wings, and to have proportional responses to acts of aggression. And I'm sorry, but destroying three lightly-manned recon outposts out of dozens is just not proportional to a large-scale invasion of Romulan space.
When Picard dropped his shields in "The Enemy", he warned Tomalok that destroying the Enterprise would plunge the Empire into war. The Romulans have to believe that the Federation is willing to go to war over the destruction of a single starship, the Enterprise-D
And all that requires is that Picard play on Romulan paranoia and fear of the Federation; it does not require that the Federation live up to their paranoia.
Just as the Klingons had to believe that capturing or destroying DS9 would plunge their Empire into a war with the Federation at the same time they were fighting the Cardassians.
Completely different scenario. Starbase Deep Space 9 was a heavily-manned, strategically vital outpost for the Federation and its Bajoran allies. The loss of DS9 would be far more devastating to Federation security than the loss of three lightly-manned recon outposts.
Like I said: Not all acts of aggression are created equal.
By trying to re-take that system by force, is that not a war?
Exactly. Having to retake a system by force is the definition of a war.
I think we're using different definitions. You two seem to be operating under a very liberal definition of "war," one that accepts as a "war" any form of open combat between states. I'm operating under a different definition: I'd define an interstellar war as a state of
on-going (not limited) combat involving large-scale invasions (not single-system invasions or invasions of strategically unimportant systems) of enemy territory and the deliberate attempt to defeat the enemy's military apparatus and force the submission of the enemy government, usually via military occupation of the enemy's legitimately-owned territory.
I would describe a campaign on the Cardassians' part to capture a single solar system as not being inherently an act of war, provided that that star system lacks a heavy population or is not the home system of a Federation Member State. As such, I would describe the initial capture of a Federation colony's system by the Cardassians, and the re-capturing of that system from the Cardassians as a
battle, not a war.
It would
become a war if the re-capture was retaliated against by a Cardassian campaign to invade and occupy other Federation star systems, or if the Federation retaliated against the initial capture by seeking to invade and occupy other Cardassian systems. But so long as combat remains confined to a single minor star system, I would not define it as a full-scale war.
I'm pretty sure the Cardassian invasion fleet is no small force. Plus they'll have ground troops entrenched on the planet. It's going to take a large Federation fleet plus security forces to retake that system.
I don't think that's clear at all. It would really depend on how long the Cardassians had been in the system, what mechanisms they'd used to secure control of the colony's populace, and the number of ships they'd dedicated as a result of their calculation of how important the system was to them versus how important the system was to the Federation.
It's going to be like another Organia. Where the Federation and Klingon fleets met to "decide the fate of the galaxy" (or at least that one part of the galaxy.)
False comparison. Organia was used as a strategic point in an on-going, multi-system cold-war-type conflict that was expected to flare up into a multi-system war. An invasion of a single system is hardly the same thing.
And I doubt that if the Federation destroyed all Cardassian assets near that system, that the Cardassian Union would let it stay at that.
Again, that depends on a lot of variables. If the Federation has destroyed or captured all Cardassian assets in that system but has not entered legitimately-held Cardassian systems in retaliation, but has instead significantly beefed up Federation patrols of the UFP side of the UFP/Cardassian border, the Cardassians may well be intimidated into refraining from engaging in further hostilities. That would, of course, depend on why the Cardassians launched the initial invasion of that system and on how important they viewed that system as being in comparison to how important they believed the Federation regarded the system as being.
I'm confused about the counter-argument begin made here. Are you saying the Federation should be willing to give up terrority if an invasion comes, without fighting to get the terrority back?
No. I already said the Federation should re-capture such territory.
What I'm arguing is that this does not automatically warrant further military escalation once Federation territory has been secured.
If you are saying they should fight to reclaim that terrority, how is that not a war?
Because a war is by definition something much larger than a battle over a single, small piece of territory lasting only a short time with only limited objectives.
Put it another way:
The State of Israel
launched an invasion of Iraqi territory and attacked the Republic of Iraq in 1981 when they destroyed an Iraqi nuclear reactor. Open combat occurred between two states. Yet no reasonable person would call that a war, because combat was limited in time, territory, lives lost, and objective. It was hardly the same thing as, for instance, the Iran-Iraq War.
Really? A single star system out of a Federation of hundreds is worth starting an all-out war over?
You're sure that's a proportional response? Because, to me, a proportional response would be re-capturing that star system and re-enforcing existing border defenses to deter retaliatory Cardassian incursions, not actively going to war with the Cardassian Union.
Think about it this way:
If "one star system is not worth defending with force", than that doesn't bode well for new members of the UFP.
What incentive is there to join a state that does
not guarantee protecting you against invaders?
As I said above, that would depend on the system in question. If it's a system with a small Federation or Federation Member State colony, then, I don't think that the Member States themselves would consider it worth going to full-scale war over. In fact, the Member States would probably look at it this way: "If we're outside the Federation, and the system containing our 20,000-person colony is captured by the Cardassians, then that colony is well and truly fucked, since we won't even have the capacity to re-capture it,
and the Cardassians have a beachhead to launch further invasions of our territory. If we're Federation Members, the Federation will help us re-capture it and protect us from future incursions."
If, on the other hand, that star system contains the homeworld, capital planet, or primary population centers of a Federation Member State -- if it's the Trill system or the Betazed system rather than a system containing only a small colony -- then, yes, certainly the Federation has a valid reason to engage in further retaliations in order to ensure the security of that Federation Member State's system. If the Cardassians were to invade the Trill system, for instance, then I'd say that the Federation has every right to capture unpopulated Cardassian territory and to force the Cardassians to give up that territory in retaliation for the invasion of Trill once Trill has been re-captured.
Once again: All acts of aggression are not created equal. The appropriate response will depend upon the individual act and the circumstances surrounding it.