Maybe a mod should add the speculation about fleet size to the FAQ thread and bookend it with a nice 'we don't know.'![]()
Like Drake said, if that were the case, we wouldn't have anything to discuss...
I'm pleasantly surprised that it has remained a civil discussion so far.
I don't think it's a number we can logically come up without more data, but in TOS, I'm sticking with only 200 or 300 hundred (that includes older pre-TOS ships still in use), and I think I'm being generous because my gut instinct when I was younger, was that there were maybe only dozens. But by TNG and an explosion in construction and design techniques (eg replication-large transporters) I am comfortable with a max of 10000 ships. But these ships are spread out across a huge Space with small battle ready groups kept in strategic locations.
Praetor, I do not put a lot of tech faith into the novels (I save that faith, often tested, in the tech manuals!), but figure the authors have to have worked out some of the numbers off to the side and didn't just pull them out of the blue when assembling numbers of ships into fleets, task forces, etc. I can't remember the exact size of the combined fleet assembled at the Azure Nebula to confront the Borg, but figured that the Federation threw everything they had at them (lines of dialogue suggested that ships within six weeks travel to the Azure Nebula were ordered to rendezvous there, while outlying ships would not arrive in time, and remember that they paid off the Ferengi to arrange someone to keep the Tholians in line), and while certainly the Romulans and Klingons held back some ships to deter their neighbors from misbehaving in the majority fleets' abscence, they also sent an assload of ships as well. If anyone has that section of Destiny open and wants to throw in, feel free. I may go dig it up later if someone else doesn't get to it first, to try and firm that up.
Thanks for passing along the links to the earlier threads; first one worked but second one didn't (fleet composition post 2379). Try 'er again. I'd like to see that. Or zap it to sic1701@cox.net if unable to link.
I, too, don't think every registration number from 1-80,100 (the Luna-class) was taken up by built ships, but rather that they ordered in blocks. I know we've talked about this in the BBS before many moons ago, but put simply I think ship registry numbers were reserved in blocks of up to one hundred. Take a look at the Galaxy-class. The prototype, USS Galaxy, was NCC-70637, but the rest of the class all began with 718XX, suggesting that 71800-71899 is reserved for that class. We have NCC-71807/Yamato, 71832/Odyssey, and 71854/Venture. One may wonder where the other ships that make up the numbers in between went, but I am thinking that the reservations were further broken down into blocks for specific shipyards, and, like, Utopia Planitia had 71801-71825 reserved, and another place had 71826-71850, then 71851-71875, etc, so even though Venture at 71854 is the highest number, that doesn't necessarily mean there were exactly 53 preceeding Galaxies built...just reserved.
That would also have the added beneficial effect of a potential aggressor thinking that there may be more ships to defend Federation space than there really is, but deciding not to test that hypothesis after all, for fear of running into a wall of Galaxy-class ships.
The Excelsior-class is another example. Here we have the original run in the 2000s, then some in the 2500s, then 139xx, 142xx, 145xx, 149xx, 182xx, then a large gap to 340xx, 389xx, 405xx, then a big run in 421xx, and 422xx as well as 427xx-429xx, then 433xx, and finally 504xx. If you assume a maximum potential of one hundred Excelsiors per block, then you have a maximum potential of 1,700 Excelsior-class ships.
Seeing onscreen that Excelsiors and Mirandas seem to outnumber the other ship classes does give more credence to a 5,000-ship fleet per Ronald D Moore than it does the 30,000 figure, but then again if you factor runabouts, scout ships, tugs and auxilaries, small ships assigned to starbases, etc., then it may be closer to 30,000. I don't have the raw data at hand, but IIRC the U.S. Navy has some 350-odd ships, of which about 150-200 are capital ships, submarines, dedicated warships, with the rest being support and auxilary craft. And given the built-in flexibility and multi-mission capability of Starfleet ships, I would actually expect the number of auxilaries to be quite low, with most assigned to starbases as opposed to being integrated with the numbered fleets.
Frankly, I put the numbers of Federation capital ships (larger than Danubes, ranging from Oberths and Novas on up to the Sovereign) at about 1,000 (seemingly mostly Excelsiors and Mirandas, probably many pulled out of mothballs), the Klingons (from B'rels on up, with the B'rels making up most of the number) at 1,500, and the Romulans at 300-500 D'Deridex and Norexan/Mogai/what-have-you.
For these numbers I point at TNG and DS9 dialogue for justification, ranging from the big deal over the Wolf 359 lost ships (morale effect of such a loss so close to the Federation core not withstanding, though thanks to Praetor for including a link to the earlier thread in which a poster likened the Wolf 359 battle analogous to a nuked carrier battle group off the coast of Florida) and Tyra one hundred-plus ship loss, to the comments that the big-ass Dominion invasion fleet of 1,200 outnumbered the Federation fleet (which we have to assume was the max the Federation could throw at the attempt to seal off the Alpha Quadrant from Dominion reinforcements, which was a pretty big deal) 2-to-1, and the dialogue that the two thousand Dominion ships that would pour from the wormhole (the vast overwhelming majority of which would be the little "bug" fighters) would cause the Allies to lose the war. With that much on the line, the Federation would have pulled everyone off exploration duty and sent them on that mission, and the run-up to war left plenty of time to bring the outlying ships in.
The Milky Way is over 100000 light years across and about 1000 light years thick. The Federation has been given a size of about 8000 light years. I figure that based on a 4000 light year radius, and 1000 light year thickness at most, we’re talking about a volume of 50,285,714,285 light years. That’s hell of a lot of space.
The Milky Way is over 100000 light years across and about 1000 light years thick. The Federation has been given a size of about 8000 light years. I figure that based on a 4000 light year radius, and 1000 light year thickness at most, we’re talking about a volume of 50,285,714,285 light years. That’s hell of a lot of space.
I'd like to know where you got this figure from, since last time I looked, opinion on this was pretty varied.
Also, 8000 cubic light years may be as low as 20 x 20 x 20 light years in each direction...
The Milky Way is over 100000 light years across and about 1000 light years thick. The Federation has been given a size of about 8000 light years. I figure that based on a 4000 light year radius, and 1000 light year thickness at most, we’re talking about a volume of 50,285,714,285 light years. That’s hell of a lot of space.
I'd like to know where you got this figure from, since last time I looked, opinion on this was pretty varied.
Also, 8000 cubic light years may be as low as 20 x 20 x 20 light years in each direction...
Also, Picard clearly stated that the Federation is spread over 8000 ly's.
'Cubic' was never part of the line and is fan speculation.
I think most of the ships are small fighters, ship like Miranda brought out of retirement, and kit bashes hastily put together. The peace time fleet must be much smaller. I think 1000 ships is a good number to go by, from what we've seen on screen.
The 20-1 Martok statement can't be true, because we see in SOTA that "only" 2000 ships on the other end of the wormhole would spell doom for the whole quadrant.
The intelligence had to have been wrong, and/or the Klingon must have exaggerated. They struggle when the odds are 2-1 in SOTA, a 20-1 odds would mean it's over.
Not really - as we see starships occasionally meet each other, with 1000 ships in the vastness of the Federation, they never would.
Tell that to the Taliban, with hit-and-run tactics they are holding down a massive, technically superior International force with small groups operating independently, similar to Martok's proposed tactics.
When did we see an unscheduled rendezvous, though? When the Reliant appeared in ST2 without prearrangement, Saavik was on the verge of fainting from shock (as far as half-Vulcans go) when she realized the ship was not only in the same sector, but actually in the same quadrant (a smaller division), and slowing for a rendezvous...Not really - as we see starships occasionally meet each other, with 1000 ships in the vastness of the Federation, they never would.
There's always the "Das Boot" clause, too: if and when the ships operate blind, without contact to home base or other ships, sheer random chance sometimes will bring them to the same star system (or within each other's sensor range at least) against all odds - just like two U-boats might meet in the middle of the Atlantic at random.
Losing 40 ships and 11,000 lives is a tragedy no matter how big your fleet is. The effect on a few small towns in Scotland of the Nimrod disaster that killed 14 men was massive, but it was not a crippling loss for the RAF, merely a tragedy.
When did we see an unscheduled rendezvous, though? When the Reliant appeared in ST2 without prearrangement, Saavik was on the verge of fainting from shock (as far as half-Vulcans go) when she realized the ship was not only in the same sector, but actually in the same quadrant (a smaller division), and slowing for a rendezvous...
There's always the "Das Boot" clause, too: if and when the ships operate blind, without contact to home base or other ships, sheer random chance sometimes will bring them to the same star system (or within each other's sensor range at least) against all odds - just like two U-boats might meet in the middle of the Atlantic at random.
Umm, that would be valid if the Taliban were stopping Patton or Zhukov from storming Germany. The international force in Afghanistan is not involved in any sort of a "push" in any direction, and the Taliban are not protecting any territory - they're merely making life difficult for an already present occupying force that doesn't even have ambitions on occupying all of the territory.
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