My point is that it's possible for a movie to succeed financially because it succeeded creatively. Yes, considerations like prior popularity are a factor, obviously, but it makes no sense to assume that they're the exclusive factor. That's mistaking averages and aggregates for absolutes. If movie success were that formulaically predictable, there wouldn't be so many failures. It's never that simple. There are countless variables involved, and anything you can say about general trends and broad strokes may be true as far as it goes, but it is very, very wrong to mistake that for a universal, inviolable law. The biggest successes are the exceptions, the ones that break the rules and predictions and expectations. Surely it goes without saying that you don't become a smash hit by being average and ordinary, but by doing something special.
And that's why you can't reduce it to simplistic bromides like "big-name stars help a movie" and assume that's the entire story. I mean, how many less successful movies did Robert Downey Jr. make before he did Iron Man? His presence was a factor, yes, but what made that movie work wasn't just who was involved, but what they did with it -- to take what was fundamentally an entirely generic, formulaic superhero origin story and use it as the framework for a brilliant exercise in semi-improvisational dialogue and acting. It was their skill that made the movie work, not their mere presence. You talk about getting big names, but the reason those names become big is that they're capable of making good movies. But that doesn't mean they're guaranteed to, because every great actor has their share of duds and misfires. Even the best batter never bats a thousand, or even half that. But when their movies do well, it's usually because they were done well. Quality matters. And thus it follows that people who aren't already famous can also make quality movies that audiences respond to. Everybody's gotta start somewhere.
Something you've completely missed is that it takes
a lot of money to make a movie, especially the kind that we here at TrekBBS like (i..e Science Fiction / Fantasy). . Sorry, but ain't no way a GOFundMe page can really
So yeah,
technically you are right
@Christopher that you don't need a big star, or be part of something already set up to be be successful (as many mentioned to be a good movie in the first place)... but in order to get some of the types we
want (such as comic book based movies), you .
there's also
way too many options for people to see things.. People have to priortize. For good or bad, Netflix's top 10 basically helps people make a popular show even more popular because they can see the trailer, and will prompted to check that out if they see the same show pop up several times.
it doesn't like peer pressure is as strong as it might have been,. But your example of Guardians of the Galaxy -- it had the Phase 1 Avengers to build up interest. People saw Marvel had a good track record, so they would be willing to risk some money to see it. And the Box Office opening weekend success prompted others to check it out too, so that's how it was able to be successful (and
that success funded future movies and even TV shows).
Now with Oppenheimer, which is more what you are talking about CHristpher, the director and star power helped fund the movie to get made in the first place... but then somehow, it got tied to Barbie, and i think
that is what made the movie a real success, with the publicity (that and a lot of mediocre movies, plus a writers and actors strike preventing PR for other movies). And Barbie's hyper-success, i feel, was in part due to to
false marketing... in that i saw sooooo many women bring their young daughters...who the movie was
not actually made for, so that inflated success, and then adults found out it was good for them, so it now has set up Greta to make other stuff she wants, which might be wholly original....
But going back to the original subject of SOny -- is there even a soul here who has
any confidence that Sony is making Spider-related stuff with
any love for the material / genre (like Marvel does), and not simply to make money?
It's the same attitude that prompted the making of Garfield's movies (and its subsequent "failure").
I am not sure how long they have their license, but they seem determined to soak it of all the money they can (and perhaps the executives know their time is limited, so they are throwing everything at the wall and hoping they can get another hit). That reminds me -- i need to add a bonus challenge to
The Box Office Predictor Game 2024,