What do you predict STID will make worldwide?

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by RAMA, Mar 19, 2013.

  1. ralph

    ralph Captain Captain

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    I don't agree with this point of view.
    who was more interested in star trek 2009? Fans.
    people who donĀ“t like star trek were not interested, especially outside the USA.
    But ST2009 has attracted a little attention to these people.
    The idea is to attract more people who do not like star trek, in Germany, England, Japan, Brazil, Australia, etc.
    People who watched ST2009 will turn to watch the sequel.
    So, I think it is unlikely that STID will have a box office less than $385m
     
  2. BillJ

    BillJ Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Outside of Iron Man 3, I think those are all very optimistic numbers.
     
  3. bbailey861

    bbailey861 Admiral Premium Member

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    I had not considered the SW angle. My original thought was $400 mil worldwide - but I will adjust that up to 450 mil to account for the looky-loos.
     
  4. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Just curious - I always assumed the cross over fan base between Wars and Trek was upwards of 90% despite the fact that some Trek fans are upset the JJ is now on aboard with both now.

    Personally, I cannot think of any friend who is a fan of sci-fi who doesn't at least see both at the theatre.

    Now hardcore Wars fans may not go to Trek conventions and vice versa but I always assumed that sci-fi fans at least watch both.
     
  5. wekkuli

    wekkuli Lieutenant Junior Grade Red Shirt

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    Yes, of course many people will return for STID, but not all... What happened with Insurrection after First Contact's success?

    I have no doubt that domestically STID will do just fine, but internationally they need to create more hype in order to get something like $500-600 million. Transformers and Iron Man do it easily, because they are much bigger titles than Trek internationally (ST09 didn't change much things I'm afraid).
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2013
  6. Keeper

    Keeper Commodore Commodore

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    Shit-loads! 450 - 550 M.
     
  7. Aike

    Aike Commander Red Shirt

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    I think this is a pretty good estimation. It will make more than Star Trek (2009) because of 3D.
     
  8. Garak

    Garak Salty Dog Premium Member

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    $500-$600 million.

    Khan will be a big draw.
     
  9. Flake

    Flake Commodore Commodore

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    I think :

    North America: $290 million
    Rest of World: $210 million

    North American Opening Weekend: $90 Million

    I think there will be more growth overseas than in North America partly because of 3D. It seems that outside of North America 3D is much more popular and that will help. Also in these countries where Trek is very weak perhaps over the last 4 years they have seen the reboot on their television and see that it is not so bad!

    I think there is a lot of competition during May and this will hurt Trek. I think Christmas is the best time for a Star Trek movie because there is less competition and then Trek becomes the must see movie worldwide of the holidays rather than just another summer blockbuster... But hey what do I know?

    The predictions of 800 million+ are way off IMO and they forget that trek outside of English speaking countries and Germany is very very weak.

    Why is Trek so weak in non-English speaking countries? I have never understood why?

    It really is amazing that we are posting these sorts of figures.. Cast your mind back to Nemesis bombing to maid in manhattan and a woeful total worldwide gross of 67 million dollars. Now we can predict such insane figures. Cast your minds back to 2005 and the cancellation of enterprise due to low ratings in the Friday night deathslot. My my how far we have come. (Yet some fans still complain)
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Mar 20, 2013
  10. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Yep. :lol:
     
  11. Jax

    Jax Admiral Admiral

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    ST struggles in the international markets and this won't change IMO so...

    Opening: $90 million
    Domestic: $275 million
    Foreign: $150 million
    Total: $425 million
     
  12. ElimParra

    ElimParra Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    I'm hoping for between $500 million and $550 million worldwide, but have a feeling it will be less than that - around $450 million.

    I know there are friends who are trekkies, who aren't interested in this at all. One particular friend likes pointing this out.
     
  13. CorporalClegg

    CorporalClegg Admiral Admiral

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    I can guarantee $13.
     
  14. Flake

    Flake Commodore Commodore

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    Fortunately I think Trekkies who don't like the reboot will be outnumbered by ppl new to Trek post-reboot by at least 100:1 :)
     
  15. CorporalClegg

    CorporalClegg Admiral Admiral

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    True. Because for every one disgruntled Trekkie there are 20 who love nuTrek. And now they actually have something they can take their friends to and not be embarrassed about it.
     
  16. StalwartUK

    StalwartUK Commander Red Shirt

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    Similar amount to ST11, maybe a bit more. Most of the extra money will probably come from the 3D screenings.
     
  17. ElimParra

    ElimParra Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    And many new people discovering trek for the first time.
     
  18. The Mirrorball Man

    The Mirrorball Man Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Ex-Trekkies, then.
     
  19. SalvorHardin

    SalvorHardin Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    I searched the thread for "flop" and found nothing.
    So I'm saying STID is going to flop. But don't quote me on that...unless it flops. :p



    I have no idea, never been good at these predictions.
     
  20. RAMA

    RAMA Admiral Admiral

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    That's highly optimistic. I'd be happy if it made over $400 mill.