STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by RAMA, Apr 26, 2013.

  1. The Stig

    The Stig Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    I hate to interrupt, but STID has made more money to date than Trek '09 did, by about 55 million dollars. The foreign take is double what it was at this point in the first movie's run.

    STID is going to make more money than Trek '09. Hiring an international star like Cumberbatch did wonders for the film in overseas markets, along with a much larger marketing push. This sets the stage nicely for an even stronger foreign performance for the next Bad Robot Trek production.
     
  2. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

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  3. CorporalCaptain

    CorporalCaptain Admiral Admiral

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    No shit? :guffaw:

    Assuming you guys aren't lying, this is seriously the most hilarious thing I've heard in the past week!
     
  4. The Stig

    The Stig Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    After two weekends:
    STID Domestic: $155 million
    STID International: $102 million

    Trek '09 Domestic: $155 million
    Trek '09 International: $50 million.

    Source: http://boxofficemojo.com
     
  5. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Star Trek had made $70 million foreign at this point in its release. STiD has made $102 million. Star Trek was playing in more markets at that point, though. STiD has made about $32 million more worldwide than Star Trek after the same number of days in release.

    With the bigger budget, the bigger worldwide marketing push and the 3D release, Paramount would have hoped for over $500 million worldwide, with $450 million being decent, but not all they hoped for, and anything less being disappointing. The domestic legs and the foreign increases so far will hopefully put STiD over the $450 million worldwide mark by the end of its run. If it hits $500 million then they got the numbers they wanted, albeit with a slightly bumpier ride domestically than expected.
     
  6. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    If it hits the 1/2 billion + dollars that many predicted it would.
    Making another film is a foregone conclusion. A $190 million budget next go around I'd wager is not.

    Edited to add: I'm sure the studio is also banking on huge $$ in DVD sales.

    Also, IIRC movie studios are less happy with overseas numbers because the profit sharing agreement between distributors and the cinema are different than in the US where the studio gets the lion share of the money.
     
    Last edited: May 28, 2013
  7. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Don't shoot the messenger even the NY Times agrees with my assessment:


     
  8. beamMe

    beamMe Commodore

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    So the analysts were wrong.
     
  9. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    If you think I haven't acknowledged certain weaknesses in the film's performance you're mistaken. As things stand now, the opening was below expectations, but the legs are good so far. The domestic gross will be lower than Paramount hoped for, but the foreign increases give the film a good chance to end up in the $450 million range, which would be decent. The $500 million worldwide Paramount no doubt hoped for is probably a bridge too far, but we'll see how the foreign numbers unfold in the territories to go.
     
  10. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Lets chat about it next Monday and we'll see where we're at.
     
  11. Squiggy

    Squiggy FrozenToad Premium Member

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    You did this same shit with ST09.
     
  12. Jeff O'Connor

    Jeff O'Connor Commodore Commodore

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    Indeed we will, and Out Of My Vulcan Mind is nothing if not just as excited to see those numbers, I am sure.

    In the meantime, what do we know about potential competition in Summer 2016? I think one thing that isn't on a lot of minds yet is that there may very well be not a Star Wars Episode but a Star Wars spinoff flick of some fashion at around the same time. Judgment on the Abrams-directed Episode VII will have something of an impact on how strongly that performs, but doubtless it will do well enough in general.
     
  13. LOKAI of CHERON

    LOKAI of CHERON Commodore Commodore

    The film will almost certainly turn a healthy, but not spectacular, profit (probably coming in at around $430-450m), guaranteeing a third Bad Robot entry.

    And, if the budget comes down to $150m or so, I am extremely confident a few judicious creative choices will result in no discernible drop in scope for the next one.

    But, go right ahead and put a sad face on the numbers.

    We shall see.
     
  14. dodge

    dodge Captain Captain

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    Episode VII is 2015, 2016 should be free of big screen Star Wars.
    Disney will milk SW for all it's worth, but I highly doubt they'll have movie releases every year.
     
  15. LOKAI of CHERON

    LOKAI of CHERON Commodore Commodore

    Actually, I'm pretty sure that's exactly what they've stated they'll do!
     
  16. Jeff O'Connor

    Jeff O'Connor Commodore Commodore

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    Yeah, that's literally what they said. :P
     
  17. Jeff O'Connor

    Jeff O'Connor Commodore Commodore

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    So, I'm wondering: will May 2016 see the fight between Klingons and Yoda we've all been secretly waiting for?

    What, just me?
     
  18. dodge

    dodge Captain Captain

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    Oh wow, I see I've severely underestimated Micky Mouse's greed ::ferengi::
     
  19. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    I think it'll be at around $185 million domestic after its third weekend.

    We might see The Amazing Spider-Man 3 kick off May 2016 and then the release of a Star Wars film later in the month.
     
  20. Jeff O'Connor

    Jeff O'Connor Commodore Commodore

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    Ah, yeah, that movie. I'm not very good at keeping track of all the superhero blockbusters, so I'm relying on everyone else for that! Yup, comes right down to it, I'm pretty much a spacer.
     

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