STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by RAMA, Apr 26, 2013.

  1. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    BTW, does anyone think the movie will come even close to $500 million at this point as many predicted?
     
  2. Shanndee

    Shanndee Commodore Commodore

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    According to those who have explained box office to me, a 46% drop is actually a very good hold. A lot of "big" films drop by well over 50%.

    And I'm not overly worried about the Smith and son movie...mainly due to the "and son" part of it. Every time I have seen this trailer in the theatre it elicited laughs/"that looks boring"/"I've seen this movie before"/and finally "ugh. His son. AGAIN? Ugh" responses.
     
  3. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    The only sad part about that IMO is this film is probably the last big budget hurrah for M Night Shyamalan. Too bad really. The Sixth Sense& Signs was such great flicks.
     
  4. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    I think it'll end up with $230-240 million domestic. Foreign numbers are harder to predict since it hasn't been released in quite a lot of territories yet. My guess is it'll end up somewhere between $430 million and $450 million worldwide, but it could go higher if it performs well in its upcoming international releases.
     
  5. Dream

    Dream Admiral Admiral

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    That man still has a career?:guffaw:
     
  6. KGator

    KGator Lieutenant Commander Red Shirt

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    Mentally? . . . that's debatable.


    The Sixth Sense was one of the great films of all time.

    Signs was one of the funniest movies I've ever seen, absolutely hilarious. Unfortunately I think Shyamalan was attempting to be serious. Sooooo . . . in that case . . . maybe this being his final big budget flop isn't such a bad thing after all. Its a shame he will be relegated to making low budget flops henceforth.
     
    Last edited: May 28, 2013
  7. Jeff O'Connor

    Jeff O'Connor Commodore Commodore

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    Oh wow, 46% with both those movies out there? Very nice, I was worried it'd be closer to 52 despite the busy theaters.
     
  8. KGator

    KGator Lieutenant Commander Red Shirt

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    Mentally? . . . that's debatable.
    I'm pretty sure that Epic was at #4 with $33.5 million and Iron Man 3 at #5 with $19 million.
     
  9. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Plus Epic, which did $42.6 million for the 4-day weekend. Not as direct competition, but competition nonetheless.
    You're right. Good catch.
     
  10. Vyse

    Vyse Lieutenant Commander Red Shirt

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    Is there any good buzz about that "Now You See Me" movie opening Friday? Wondering how much competition that film will bring.
     
  11. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    It's expected to open in the high teens to mid-20s. Of course expectations can be way off.
     
  12. Vyse

    Vyse Lieutenant Commander Red Shirt

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    Cool, thanks for the information. Doesn't seem to be a huge film, guess the next big one is "Man of Steel".
     
  13. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    According to posters in China on the BoxOffice.com forum STiD has opened to an estimated $3.2 million there (that's just for its opening day). That's 60% of G.I. Joe 2's opening day. If STiD ended up with a gross in China 60% of G.I. Joe 2's it would result in a $30-35 million take. Star Trek made $8.5 million in China.
     
  14. Cinema Geekly

    Cinema Geekly Commander Red Shirt

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    Plus I look at STiD's #3 spot like this. It was only just barely #3. Hangover III did a mere 4 million more in business which in big movie release terms means that they were more or less tied.
     
  15. DarthTom

    DarthTom Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Considering that STID opened at a huge number of IMAX locations and that it was in 3-D at a higher ticket price than the previous film + that Paramount make a big effort to promote and even release the film overseas first - coupled with the fact that they hired an international film star, Cumberbatch and it didn't, 'hit it out of the park,' with over $100 million opening weekend - I'd wager that the beancounters at Paramount are disappointed.

    But, go right ahead an put the happy face on the numbers.

    We shall see.

    As an aside, I wonder if Paramount is worried about their next big release in June, World War Z, which they've also put a subsantial financial stake into?

    I'm sure that Iron Man however has pleased everyone at Paramount this summer however.
     
  16. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Paramount didn't distribute Iron Man 3. When Disney acquired Marvel they bought out Paramount's distribution deal with Marvel. Paramount is getting a cut of Iron Man 3's box office, as they did with The Avengers, as a result of that buyout, but most of the money is flowing to Disney/Marvel.
     
  17. The Stig

    The Stig Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    We shall see what, exactly? There's going to be a third film by the same production company featuring the same cast.
     
  18. Ssosmcin

    Ssosmcin Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    No doubt Paramount will do more research into why this film didn't hit the numbers they wanted. Maybe they'll knock at least a year off the turnaround time for the next one. Or if they have a villain the general audience is well aware of, they could consider not keeping him a secret.

    Seems to me that Into Darkness was geared more toward fans than 2009. See, I thought 2009 was "meh" but really loved STID. I'm an old, cranky die-hard fan. I'm not the guy they should be pleasing. There was a lot of fan service here, much more than in ST 09. Methinks they need to go back to making movies I think are "meh" and get their money back in earnest.
     
  19. Joker

    Joker Vice Admiral Admiral

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    A better movie would probably have made more money.

    It could certainly have been better.
     
  20. Jax

    Jax Admiral Admiral

    The next movie will probably attempt to back to 09 more adventure light hearted theme instead of the dark angle. Paramount marketing seemed more focus worldwide than domestic so they need to just find the right balance and hope 2016 summer is less busy May-June.
     

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