STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by RAMA, Apr 26, 2013.

  1. Phily B

    Phily B Commodore Commodore

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    No, but it's rarely factored in unless the marketing was insane. The marketing in foreign markets appears to be paying off at least.
     
  2. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    The business model has shifted. Most of a film's revenues come from ancillary revenue (PPV, DVD, Blu-ray, TV), so a film can make a profit with box office lower than 2X its budget. But for it to make enough of a profit to get a sequel it generally needs at least 2X its budget, and preferably around 2.4X or 2.5X its budget, although there are exceptions.
     
  3. Dream

    Dream Admiral Admiral

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    Yes, that is more accurate. However, movies these days generally need at least 2X its budget to get a sequel.
     
  4. I am not Spock

    I am not Spock Commodore Commodore

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    I've seen a lot of bitchy Trekkies whining about the movie, on social media. Before they've even seen it. It seems a lot of fans are biting the hand that feeds them. Also, unless you have a thick skin, I'd advise you to stay away from the IMDB board for STID. This place is very civil, compared to there.

    It also seems Trek has a glass ceiling. No matter how much you reboot it, it seems impossible to shake that damned stigma.
     
  5. TREK_GOD_1

    TREK_GOD_1 Commodore Commodore

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    Remember, you have not established if the 180-90 million includes promotional budget, and if it does not, then ST has a very long way to go. Also, you said its not a flop if it covers cost, but that's not even close to what the studio is interested in. Obviously, the first hurdle is that production budget, but it is only at that point when the profits come in, and again, with typical box office for any film shrinking with every week--and the ST opening week not being all that impressive (we're not talking Iron Man, here!), the final haul may not be a significant improvement over the 1st movie.

    IF ST2 falls below the earnings of the 1st, this is not a case where it does not matter, as the sequel was so compelling that audiences were drooling for another entry before the credits rolled (ex. The Empire Strikes Back not earning as much as Star Wars, but created a frenzy for more). This film is not exactly sending off fireworks of excitement, or being that great sequel which makes bold moves forward for the principals (TWOK).

    But the 1st threshold is the physical box office; the studio would not be satisfied to spend that much money, not get a bonafide hit, only to hope the home video market gives it the life it did not earn the first time around.
     
  6. royalfan5

    royalfan5 Fleet Captain Fleet Captain

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    Honestly, with the marketing budget, I think you have to separate that from the film to a degree, because no matter the year, Paramount is going to spend a lot of money marketing its slate of films, which will always include a tentpole or intended blockbuster that they want everyone to know about.
     
  7. beamMe

    beamMe Commodore

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    Will you people all get a grip! The movie isn't even out a week in the US.
    All this doom and gloom is ridiculous.
     
  8. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    But, of course, the apparent "glass ceiling" for nuTrek is hundreds of millions of dollars higher than for oldTrek. :lol:
     
  9. Neumann

    Neumann Captain Captain

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    The glass ceiling can and could be taken apart. It is far simpler than most people think.
    Star trek needs to evolve to become somewhat more edgy and smart by trying to blur the gender difference it seems to permanently have.

    There was one study that showed that the common star trek fan was a married woman who didnt go to conventions, get dressed up or did any of those stigmatizing things.
    Also, star trek's focus requires a hook for teens, as most of us became trekkies then.
    None of the trailers i've seen seem to be after them. They still can promote the movie this week with such focus and build up numbers.

    Show more of the fun stuff and show kirk, spock and uhura a bit more!
     
  10. C.E. Evans

    C.E. Evans Admiral Admiral

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    But par for the course as far as the internet is concerned. I've already been to a few sites which a few have already declared it a flop and that this is the end of Trek forever.

    Uh-huh...
    :shifty:
     
  11. TREK_GOD_1

    TREK_GOD_1 Commodore Commodore

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    ...yeah, like inflated ticket prices have nothing to do with that. :lol:

    nuTrek2 is not generating the kind of spirited, interested dialogue as TWOK in 1982. Not even close.
     
  12. I am not Spock

    I am not Spock Commodore Commodore

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    And show more Alice Eve in bra and panties, for the teen market
     
  13. Coloratura

    Coloratura Snuggle Princess Premium Member

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    There's a 31 year difference between the two. Welcome to the 21st century.
     
  14. RAMA

    RAMA Vice Admiral Admiral

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    ST fans are so neurotic, I find it highly amusing.:rofl:
     
  15. I am not Spock

    I am not Spock Commodore Commodore

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    Trek 09 already made a few compromises. In one scene alone, we got Nokia product placement, a car chase, and Beastie Boys music. And yet it still didn't do Fast and Furious money. Trek 09 was a success for Trek standards, but only a modest success in terms of film in general
     
  16. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Nothing but a fractional difference, no. Check it out; exaggerating those kind of things doesn't win points.

    TWOK may have engendered some "spirited discussion" in some Star Trek clubs or something in 1982, but it wasn't one of the biggest releases of that summer and there wasn't much buzz about it among the general public. The skiffy movies that got most of the attention that year were E.T. and Blade Runner.
     
  17. I am not Spock

    I am not Spock Commodore Commodore

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    I think Trekkies think Trek is more popular than it actually is, alas.
     
  18. Beyerstein

    Beyerstein Captain Captain

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    With four years worth of ticket inflation, 3-D prices and IMAX, the failure to match 2009 Star Trek is staggering.

    Its funny so many people were all like, "don't rush into the sequel, let J.J take his time"

    Now the 4 year gap and inability to ride off the momentum of the first movie seems to be agreed upon as a big part in the under performing opening box office.
     
  19. Out Of My Vulcan Mind

    Out Of My Vulcan Mind Vice Admiral Admiral

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    Most franchises have a ceiling. Only a rarefied few franchises make more than $300 million domestic. If Trek's ceiling is $200-250 million domestic that puts it in good company. There's no shame in it. You just have to budget accordingly and continue to work on expanding Trek's international appeal and youth appeal.

    To put things in perspective: over the last few summers only about half a dozen films per summer have opened to more than $60 million. Even in this especially super-charged summer STiD will likely be in the top half-dozen opening weekends.
     
  20. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    Well, pre-Abrams anyway. There's a lot more interest in these two movies than there ever was before.

    No.

    A couple of Trekkies agreeing with one another doesn't constitute any kind of meaningful consensus on anything.

    In a few weeks Paramount management is going to be too busy licking their wounds over World War Z to second-guess the success of Into Darkness. :lol: