One Month Out: Predictions?

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by Squiggy, Apr 23, 2013.

?

How will it perform?

  1. The movie will be a blockbuster hit

    90.0%
  2. A dissapointment, but will make money

    7.5%
  3. Breaks even

    2.5%
  4. Bomb

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Danger Ace

    Danger Ace Commander Red Shirt

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    I voted "blockbuster" because that was, for me, the closest to how I feel. I definately believe "Star Trek Into darkness" will have a great opening weekend.

    I couldn't go with the "A dissapointment, but will make money" option because that is too vague.

    I fear it could be too similiar to what was given us in 2009. If it is ... I would be disappointed, but that doesn't mean that I would ultimately feel unsatisfied or unhappy.

    JJ Abram's previous Trek film, for example, disappointed me in how lite and glossy it was though, overall, I loved it and have watched it many, many times.
     
  2. throwback

    throwback Captain Captain

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    I think that this film will beat Iron Man 3 in its opening weekend. I think that this film will hold its position in the top five for several weeks until the premiere of Man of Steel, less than a month later. I don't see this film joining the ranks of the billion dollar club. I think this film will have a "green" rating at Metacritic, and a fresh rating at Rotten Tomatoes. I think this rating will not reflect the criticism that will come up later, from fans and, possibly, non-fans. I do not think this film will encourage Paramount into investing money and resources into a TV series.
     
  3. LOKAI of CHERON

    LOKAI of CHERON Commodore Commodore

    Yep - fingers crossed here too, Bill. I'm not overly concerned at this point, "da intawebs" can be extremely unreliable in these situations!
     
  4. HaventGotALife

    HaventGotALife Fleet Captain Fleet Captain

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    For the financially challenged among us, those that can't drop 40 dollars a week at the movie theater (or even in a single month), I have had to choose between going to see movies and not. This means I saw Lincoln, but not Argo this past fall.

    If there are households like mine, this movie has A LOT of competition. Man of Steel comes to mind. And I don't know if it has the buzz to do as well as the last one.
     
  5. ralph

    ralph Captain Captain

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    Blockbuster, guaranteed too. Massive marketing out off USA. My guess: $600-700 million. It will not beat Iron Man 3 and Man of Steel, but will beat Wolverine, Oblivion and GI Joe 2.
     
  6. Xaios

    Xaios Commander Red Shirt

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    Perhaps, but unless it's a critical flop (which won't be the case, by the sound of things), the momentum and good will from ST09 will be more than enough to sustain it.

    In honesty though, it won't match Iron Man 3 or Man of Steel unless those flop from a critical perspective. Those franchises simply have broader appeal, not to mention bigger star power. Iron Man 3 has Robert Downey Jr, and Man of Steel has Christopher freaking Nolan, two of the biggest draws in Hollywood.
     
  7. BillJ

    BillJ Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    My biggest fear (as a Trekkie) is that this film will turn out like the last one. Where the marketing campaign ended up being superior to the actual film.
     
  8. RAMA

    RAMA Admiral Admiral

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    $505 million was my prediction.
     
  9. Squiggy

    Squiggy FrozenToad Admiral

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    I agree with the consensus that Trek will be around third for the big summer movies. Ironman (or any Marvel comic film) is a crazy moneymaker and Man of Steele looks awesome, by an awesome director and producer, AND its a series that's in serious need of a successful film.

    Remember how everyone was worried that Wolverine, Terminator and GI Joe was going to affect Trek 4 year ago?
     
  10. Xaios

    Xaios Commander Red Shirt

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    Haha, true. Granted, those movies were pretty much all a critical disaster. Judging by the reviews of Iron Man 3, that won't be case this time around.

    Also, not sure why I made two separate posts above. If a mod wants to delete one, I'd have no objection. :wtf:
     
  11. SalvorHardin

    SalvorHardin Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

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    http://variety.com/2013/film/news/s...g-for-85-million-debut-in-the-u-s-1200415972/

     
  12. Borgminister

    Borgminister Admiral Moderator

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  13. Keeper

    Keeper Commodore Commodore

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  14. RAMA

    RAMA Admiral Admiral

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  15. BillJ

    BillJ Fleet Admiral Admiral

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    I think projecting it does 2.5 times the business of Star Trek 2009 in Foreign markets is incredibly optimistic. Are we sure 'foreign' isn't suppose to be total box office?
     
  16. RAMA

    RAMA Admiral Admiral

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    It think they are getting it wrong, it will do better HERE in the USA, like Batman did. Again I predicted $325 million domestically and a modest gain internationally to $180 million.