One Month Out: Predictions?

Discussion in 'Star Trek Movies XI+' started by Squiggy, Apr 23, 2013.

?

How will it perform?

  1. The movie will be a blockbuster hit

    90.0%
  2. A dissapointment, but will make money

    7.5%
  3. Breaks even

    2.5%
  4. Bomb

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Squiggy

    Squiggy FrozenToad Admiral

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2006
    Location:
    In Hiding
    We're only 3 weeks away from the IMAX opening in the US. So, based on what you think you know, how do you think the movie will perform?
     
  2. BillJ

    BillJ Fleet Admiral Admiral

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2001
    Location:
    Per Ardua
    Six hundred-million.

    Though I'm starting to have some doubts based on what I'm hearing.
     
  3. Ryan8bit

    Ryan8bit Commodore Commodore

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2004
    Location:
    St. Paul, MN
    There needs to be an option between:

    The movie will be a blockbuster hit
    and
    A dissapointment, but will make money
     
  4. Rhaven

    Rhaven Captain Captain

    Joined:
    Jul 10, 2012
    Location:
    Rhaven in Boston
    From what I've read today, yes I read all the spoilers I could find, I think the new movie will be a big hit.
     
  5. Enterprise is Great

    Enterprise is Great Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2004
    It should make quite a bit more money than the 2009 movie.
     
  6. Admiral Buzzkill

    Admiral Buzzkill Fleet Admiral Admiral

    Joined:
    Mar 8, 2001
    I think it'll come in around the half-billion dollar range, give or take. There will be one or two movies that will do better.
     
  7. Xaios

    Xaios Commander Red Shirt

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2012
    Blockbuster, guaranteed. Maybe it won't bring in the same numbers as Iron Man 3 or Man of Steel, but let's face it, those franchises have a wider audience. It's certainly beat ST09 though, by a wide margin.
     
  8. Squiggy

    Squiggy FrozenToad Admiral

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2006
    Location:
    In Hiding
    There's not a lot of room these days between blockbuster and not.
     
  9. Franklin

    Franklin Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2006
    Location:
    In the bleachers.
    Opening weekend of about $150 million, and $400-$425 million when all is said and done.
     
  10. Flake

    Flake Commodore Commodore

    Joined:
    Dec 23, 2001
    Location:
    Manchester, UK
    im thinking 100m ow and 280-310na - overseas 200m

    Spoilers circulating the interwebs wont dent anything because only fanboys read them! Bad reviews otoh might. We will see! People who want to be spoiled are probably either first in line anyway or had no interest in seeing it :P
     
  11. King Daniel Beyond

    King Daniel Beyond Admiral Admiral

    Joined:
    Nov 5, 2008
    Location:
    #istandwithcbs
    I very much want it to be a monster hit. The pessimist in me says it will do solidly but unspectacularly.

    But the way I see it, even if it flops and kills this incarnation of the franchise, I got my $140 million and $185 million Star Trek super action movies which I'll enjoy again and again.
     
  12. Xaios

    Xaios Commander Red Shirt

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2012
    Your opening weekend is a bit optimistic IMO, I'd bet on a number closer to about $90-110 million. After all, Star Trek's appeal isn't as universal as something like The Dark Knight or Harry Potter.
     
  13. Gojira

    Gojira Commodore Commodore

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Location:
    Stompin' on Tokyo
    I feel the same way!!

    I think it will do well, but if word of mouth and reviews are not good then it won't be the big blockbuster that many hope it will be.
     
  14. LOKAI of CHERON

    LOKAI of CHERON Commodore Commodore

    A little over $500m. Depending on WOM, it may have a shot at closing in on 600. However, I've read a few worrying words today, so I guess a more disappointing figure is not inconceivable. I'm hoping we get some positive buzz in the coming days.
     
  15. ManOnTheWave

    ManOnTheWave Vice Admiral Admiral

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2005
    Location:
    ManOnTheWave
    My gut feeling is this will be the summer of Superman. However, I think Trek will do well, probably just behind Iron Man 3 in terms of popularity and success (for big, kaboomy action movies). I'm glad it's opening early and has positive reviews already.
     
  16. The Stig

    The Stig Rear Admiral Rear Admiral

    Joined:
    Oct 28, 2004
    Location:
    BBC Storage, hiding from Chris Evans
    Trek '09 made $385 million worldwide, so somewhere in the range of $500 million would be an excellent result, IMHO. They've made a huge international push with this outing, so my guess is that the foreign take will be much higher than the last film.
     
  17. Locutus of Bored

    Locutus of Bored The Norf Remembers Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2004
    Location:
    Huntington Beach, California
    Prediction?

    [yt]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSPNQ82Sq4E[/yt]

    I suspect STiD will be a blockbuster and will surpass ST09's numbers because of the word of mouth, the previous film's success, and the additional 3D revenue.
     
  18. EnsignRedshirt

    EnsignRedshirt Lieutenant Red Shirt

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2013
    Location:
    Ohio
    It'll be a big hit and hopefully someone will start thinking "TV Series" and make an effort to make that happen.
     
  19. Ryan8bit

    Ryan8bit Commodore Commodore

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2004
    Location:
    St. Paul, MN
    Maybe I'm just being anal with words. It seems like there should be more of a distinction between disappointment and blockbuster. I think the movie will be successful, just not blockbuster successful. Maybe that will be disappointing to some? I think we should all be glad if it's simply just successful.
     
  20. BillJ

    BillJ Fleet Admiral Admiral

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2001
    Location:
    Per Ardua
    This.

    Based on the trailers, I figured this was easily a $600-700 million dollar film. But some of the things I've read today just seem silly, but perhaps it plays better than it sounds.

    I hope...