It's a crapshoot. NPB is essentially AAAA baseball, so it's very hard to predict performance. For every Koji Uehara there's a Matsuzaka. I'm not sure this is the year for the Cubs to splurge on a pitcher. They're still going to be really bad this season, so Tanaka isn't going to be a magic cure-all. I still think he's landing in Los Angeles or Seattle. I talked about this a page or two ago. The Yankees' payroll right now is projecting somewhere in the high $160 million range, give or take a bit. In their perfect world, they could sign Tanaka to a backloaded contract that makes his tax charge negligible for 2014 and then goes crazy after that, then dump Ichiro's contract, and do nothing else and keep Project 189 intact and going, but that's a really, really big stretch and would require a lot of dominoes to fall in their favor.