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Go Back   The Trek BBS > Star Trek Movies > Star Trek Movies XI+

Star Trek Movies XI+ Discuss J.J. Abrams' rebooted Star Trek here.

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Old May 25 2013, 04:22 PM   #1111
RAMA
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

BillJ wrote: View Post
I'm still debating whether to go one more time. Though I think my wife would kill me considering how much money I've dropped on this movie and associated merchandise!

I bought a Hot Wheels Kelvin starship yesterday! Paramount loves me. I'll have spent $132 on the movie alone.

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Old May 25 2013, 04:24 PM   #1112
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Jeff O'Connor wrote: View Post
Admiral Buzzkill wrote: View Post
I don't know who Tommunist is, but he/she makes a lot of sense.
Indeed, I thoroughly enjoyed his/her post last night. I was midway through a reply when I passed out, actually. Lost my progress when I woke up.

But yes.

Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
Deadline has adjusted the Friday number to $10.1 million now and left the projection at $47 milllion. $46-47 million is the likely range for that Friday number, with an outside shot at $50 million.
Beautiful. I can confirm I contributed to last night's numbers; brought the film roughly ~$60. I took four of my friends who were on the fence about seeing it.

They all loved it! Now I've tasked them with spreading the word. Let's have ourselves a strong third weekend!
$47 million plus $108 million=$155 million in 10 days domestic for the "flop".
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Old May 25 2013, 04:28 PM   #1113
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
Deadline has adjusted the Friday number to $10.1 million now and left the projection at $47 milllion. $46-47 million is the likely range for that Friday number, with an outside shot at $50 million.
I think Deadline is being a bit conservative (not a lot). With a Friday of $10.1 STiD should make closer to $39.5-40 over the three day weekend with a four day cumulative in the high $48 million range, maybe even $49 to 50 million. Again the film is tracking very close to Trek 2009, and assuming Saturday is probably in the high $17 million range, and like other Memorial Day performers, Sunday should be higher than Friday (probably $11-11.5 million) we are probably looking at closer to $39 million.

Just some thoughts.


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Old May 25 2013, 04:31 PM   #1114
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

And if anyone wants to talk about flopping sequels... hello Hangover III. Sure it will more than make up it's budget and be a huge hit overseas, but compared to the numbers Hangover II brought in it's a massive underperformer.

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Old May 25 2013, 04:36 PM   #1115
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

The Transformed Man wrote: View Post
And if anyone wants to talk about flopping sequels... hello Hangover III. Sure it will more than make up it's budget and be a huge hit overseas, but compared to the numbers Hangover II brought in it's a massive underperformer.

Yancy
Yeah, it should still do fine relative to its budget, but it'll have a massive drop-off from the second film. They've left a lot of money on the table by wasting the good will from the first film.
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Old May 25 2013, 04:53 PM   #1116
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

RAMA wrote: View Post
Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
The Transformed Man wrote: View Post
And if anyone wants to talk about flopping sequels... hello Hangover III. Sure it will more than make up it's budget and be a huge hit overseas, but compared to the numbers Hangover II brought in it's a massive underperformer.

Yancy
Yeah, it should still do fine relative to its budget, but it'll have a massive drop-off from the second film. They've left a lot of money on the table by wasting the good will from the first film.

Wrong, massive is not remotely accurate. If $270 million is the adjusted number, STID might not hit that, but the predictions that estimated a $180-215 million take are way off. By monday the following week, it'll have another $20 million plus weekend, and it'll already be in the $190-200 million range.
We were talking about the Hangover movies there, not the Trek movies, i.e. the massive drop-off for The Hangover III from The Hangover II is because they've produced bad sequels and wasted the good will from the first Hangover.
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Old May 25 2013, 05:01 PM   #1117
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

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Old May 25 2013, 05:23 PM   #1118
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
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Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
Yeah, it should still do fine relative to its budget, but it'll have a massive drop-off from the second film. They've left a lot of money on the table by wasting the good will from the first film.

Wrong, massive is not remotely accurate. If $270 million is the adjusted number, STID might not hit that, but the predictions that estimated a $180-215 million take are way off. By monday the following week, it'll have another $20 million plus weekend, and it'll already be in the $190-200 million range.
We were talking about the Hangover movies there, not the Trek movies, i.e. the massive drop-off for The Hangover III from The Hangover II is because they've produced bad sequels and wasted the good will from the first Hangover.

Oh I see! Still, there were plenty of straight faced claims STID was going to make $215 million!

The Hangover III had the worst trailers ive ever seen!!

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Old May 25 2013, 06:33 PM   #1119
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Studio estimates for Friday:

1. F&F 6 - $38.2m
2. HIII - $14.53m
3. STiD - $10.2m
4. Epic - $9.35m
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Old May 25 2013, 07:13 PM   #1120
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Admiral Buzzkill wrote: View Post
I don't know who Tommunist is, but he/she makes a lot of sense.
Jeff O'Connor wrote: View Post
Admiral Buzzkill wrote: View Post
I don't know who Tommunist is, but he/she makes a lot of sense.
Indeed, I thoroughly enjoyed his/her post last night. I was midway through a reply when I passed out, actually. Lost my progress when I woke up.

But yes.
Thanks for the warm welcome. Sometimes I make make sense, but I attribute that to the "broken clock" syndrome...

In any event, I was somewhat chatty on the TrekWeb boards very late 90's and early 2000's.

I shall endeavor to become more irrational, snide, dismissive and derogatory in the future, sort of like the comments people post on YouTube and Deadline. If some of the people on Deadline are to be believed, and they actually have some connection to the entertainment industry, then a tiny tear rolls down my cheek for all of humanity...
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Old May 25 2013, 08:33 PM   #1121
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Fast & Furious 6 is doing great numbers. From Deadline:

Universal’s Fast & Furious 6 opened day and date with the U.S. and Canada in 59 international territories and is breaking records. The studio says it opened #1 in every territory and is dominating the box office with 65% market share. Friday’s international gross is $36M at 8,583 dates for an early total of $90M. This is Universal’s highest grossing Friday of all time and will be Universal’s biggest overseas weekend by a large margin. The international total will be $169M though Sunday. Combined with the North American estimates of $96.2M, the three-day weekend worldwide total will be $265.2M.
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Old May 25 2013, 08:34 PM   #1122
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Looking forward to Trek's overseas numbers from this week.

Yancy
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Old May 25 2013, 08:38 PM   #1123
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

I'm amazed that anyone is watching fast&f! wow great numbers for it. I have no interest in it whatsoever.
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Old May 25 2013, 08:46 PM   #1124
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

The first few F&F films ranged from pretty good to mediocre, but they got much better with the fourth and fifth films - lots of fun, especially Fast Five.
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Old May 25 2013, 10:37 PM   #1125
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Tommunist wrote: View Post
I shall endeavor to become more irrational, snide, dismissive and derogatory in the future...
Like this board needs two of us.

Going out to see FF 6 in a few minutes. Into Darkness again tomorrow evening.
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