I agree about Frakes, I think he's a damn good director. Thunderbirds wasn't a great film, but crikey it gallops along at a fair old pace, and is never boring.
I like Inusrrection, it ain't great, and it was misadvertised, but it felt like a TNG film. Nemesis by contrast...was a disaster of Star Trek V levels, but without any of the charm that makes you forgive V it's failings. And say what you like about Shatner, on some level he understands what made TOS so great.
But I see no connection between Nemesis and The Day of the Doctor. And seriously Noddy if you think its going to tank so much I presume you won't be watching?