Nobody as blatantly and unapologetically schmaltzy as Danielle could possibly lose.
I suppose dark horse winners are possible. If you look at iTunes right now, Daneille has #2, but the Swons have #5 and #8, and there's that top ten 10x clause.
(Emotion - sincerity of that emotion) * Adorableness / Originality = Chances to win singing competition.
Danielle probably had it from day one.