I thought the same when I saw the film. Q'onos with a smashed moon and half the planet uninhabitable? What else could it be.
I really like that in this timeline, lots of the same stuff is happening but entirely out of order. Makes me wonder what's coming next?
It kind of fits in with a "multiple universe" theroy I once read - that, from the point the "universes" diverge, as time moves forward, the "alternate" moves further and further and looks less and less like the "original", although you would still be able to see some similarities, it would get more difficult as time advanced.