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Old May 22 2013, 08:53 PM   #932
The Transformed Man
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Out Of My Vulcan Mind wrote: View Post
I was talking about the demographic overlap between F&F 6 and HIII. I wasn't comparing them to STiD. It was an aside about this weekend's competition, not a Trek-related comment.

I agree that STiD will hold up compared to Star Trek in its second weekend, but that's a Memorial Day weekend compared to a regular one in 2009. Star Trek then had another very good hold for a $29.4 million 4-day third weekend over Memorial Day weekend. It's in its third weekend that STiD is likely to fall behind.
I would normally agree but STiD is not performing like a typical frontloaded sequel. There were signs on the first Monday and Tuesday of Pirates Stranger Tides that something was amiss and the numbers would fall very short of the previous Pirates movies. The fact that this past Monday and Tuesday held up so well is proof positive that WOM is helping this film. I think this weekend's AND next weekend's drops are going to remain in line with Trek 2009. In addition, with a release schedule closer to June STiD should get higher daily box office numbers through the first week or two of June.

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