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Old May 19 2013, 01:59 AM   #412
trevanian
Rear Admiral
 
Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Devon wrote: View Post
J. Allen wrote: View Post
I really think you guys are jumping the gun quite a bit. Patience is a virtue.
EXACTLY.
Not with a film series that pretty much lives & dies with its opening weekend. Only TVH really demonstrated any legs that I can recall.

When INS underperformed its opening weekend, its budget miraculously dropped from 65-68 mil back down to 58 (which is what it cost BEFORE all the reshoots/additions) by Monday morning, presumably to modulate the disappointment.

F&F will probably make a dent next weekend, don't know about HANGOVER though, or how the cartoon will hit. The week after there is only AFTER EARTH, so Trek did pick a good time to come out in terms of not being immediately swamped by competition.

One thing to keep in mind is that TWOK did a lot less biz than TMP, despite being better received. Could be a lot of mainstream audiences only wanted to see TheAbrams09Thing and look at the sequel as video fodder for home.

Clearly this is not a case like RAMBO, where FIRST BLOOD being freshly on homevid and hitting big there helped make the sequel open & sustain in a huge fashion (God knows why, except for Goldsmith that thing is cesspool.)
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