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Old May 14 2013, 05:49 PM   #66
Out Of My Vulcan Mind
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Re: STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

A broad rule of thumb these days is that a worldwide box office take of around 2.5X the production budget will make a sequel a no-brainer (unless domestic box office is especially weak and/or there's some behind the scenes troubles). So a worldwide box office take of around $450-460 million is the target for STiD. 3X the production budget - around $540-550 million - and they'll be doing cartwheels.

2X the production budget, while disappointing, can still lead to a sequel if DVD/Blu-ray sales are especially strong and if the box office is tilted towards domestic box office, but that sort of return will usually lead to cost-cutting and re-engineering.
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