There's no way to know how a draft turns out until the players actually get to play. Look how many people ripped Seattle's first three picks last year -- Bruce Irvin, Bobby Wagner and Russell Wilson. Look how late Tom Brady was drafted. John Randle and Warren Moon went undrafted.
Of course, Mel Kiper claims he's grading the process and not the players to justify all his misses, but how can he even grade the process when he's not in any of the war rooms?