R. Star wrote:
Circular argument isn't it? ST09 and TMP didn't produce new series, but Into Darkness should?
No, it's an argument that I think you're missing.
Both TMP and ST09 succeeded well enough to produce more movies, and it was the success of the movie franchise from Wrath of Khan onwards that led to the green light for TNG. Had the movies failed, there would not have been any further movies.
This is where Into Darkness comes in. If it bombs, the chances of a TV series in the near future go way down. However, if it succeeds, then the chances go up. It may not be immediate, if they have three movies planned, then a potential TV series would be most likely to follow the third.
The equation is not as simple as:
IF "Into Darkness" = "Box Office Success" THEN "Go Immediately to TV Production"
but the fact does remain that its numbers are going to be far more important for determining the viability of a new TV series than a show that's been off the air for almost a decade.