Guy Gardener wrote:
If their major export market dries up they're fucked.
There's two recent instances I can think of offhand, where a Canadian produced show was dropped by its American network, but continued being produced by its Canadian network.
- "Saving Hope" was dropped by NBC at the end of season 1, but CTV renewed it for a second season. ("Saving Hope" features Michael Shanks, who previously played Daniel Jackson for ten seasons of Stargate SG-1).
- "Flashpoint" was dropped by CBS in the middle of season 4, but CTV continued producing it for the rest of season 4 and a season 5. (Season 5 recently ended last month, with the producers calling it quits and ending the series).
But it's a Canadian show, so surely the key rating for a third season will be the Canadian rating figure.
Continuum appears to be produced partly by Shaw Media, which just happens to be the same company that owns the Showcase cable channel in Canada.
In the end, Shaw Media will have the final say on whether to axe the show.
How much longer Shaw is willing to produce Continuum on its own without an American network, will probably be dependent on season 2 ratings and Continuum's producers deciding on how long they want to prolong the storyline. If the Canadian ratings for season 2 can maintain anything close to the season 1 Canadian ratings, then most likely there will be a season 3, even if Syfy drops the show. Renewal is much less certain if the Canadian ratings of season 2 are significantly less stellar than season 1.
After the Continuum show ends, I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up living on as repeated reruns on Showcase, even with significantly less than 100 episodes. (Presently, Showcase reruns some Canadian produced sci-fi/action shows almost every day like Relic Hunter, the late 1990's Outer Limits, and Earth: Final Conflict).