Think we're kinda making my point. Not a lot of activity, and from those that are a little more active, it's mostly the 'I'll do a little when i can'. I'm not all that more active than most, doing daily DOFFing for a few min a day, then usually a few STF runs a couple nights a week.
Not saying we should be going at this hard, but it just doesn't feel like we'll get far with the current numbers and activity level.
My perspective is somewhat different from yours. Unlike some other MMOs I have played where the base can deteriorate if the fleet members does not put effort in constantly maintaining it, the STO fleet base does not deteriorate. So every little contribution is a permanent step forward in the goal towards a tier 5 base.
Personally, I am in STO on a long term basis so I am not terribly concerned that we won't have a tier 5 base in a year. Instead, I am much more concerned with having a small group of friends who can play regularly.