Thread: Ancient Aliens
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Old July 5 2012, 01:53 AM   #57
RAMA
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Re: Ancient Aliens

Robert Maxwell wrote: View Post
RAMA wrote: View Post
My Name Is Legion wrote: View Post
We likely don't detect this stuff because to the best of anyone's knowledge it exists only as fiction.
How unimaginative and droll...it wouldn't be fiction if we detected it...Von Neuman machines would be inexpensive and efficient, therefore a higher likelihood they may exist--if one is to suggest thousands of life bearing planets and a corresponding number of machine developing civilizations--but may also be hard to detect. They also don't break the known laws of physics.

RAMA
There are some very bad assumptions here.

First, you are making some quite bold assumptions about life in general:

1. That it exists outside Earth. This is likely, given the vastness of space and recent signs that rocky planets may be quite common. I think there is enough evidence to speculate that simple life forms may have arisen on other planets.
2. That such life sticks around long enough to evolve into more complex life.
3. That such complex life evolves down a path similar to ours, in which it gains intelligence and develops a curiosity about its surroundings.
4. That such life forms structures akin to human civilization, allowing mass cooperation and rapid technological advancement.
5. That such life ever develops any interest in traveling to space, or is even physically capable of surviving it.
6. That such life specifically sets about building things that can go into space, with all the technologies required to enable that.

You're making the very flawed, Trekkian assumption that complex alien life forms would think and behave anything like us, that they would have the same interests, goals, and resources. Maybe they're supremely intelligent--much more than us--but have no ability to manipulate tools because they didn't evolve suitable appendages. They're not going anywhere.

As for Von Neumann probes being cheap... well, how come we haven't sent any out, then? I'd just like to point out that we have no physical machinery today that's capable of self-replication. The very concept is still quite fanciful. I think it may be possible someday--possibly in the next couple decades--but even then, it's still a far cry from making probes that can do it for thousands or millions of generations.

RAMA wrote: View Post
My Name Is Legion wrote: View Post

No, direct and observant. Just because this board is devoted to a space opera doesn't mean we have to play "let's pretend just because" on every subject all the time.

Uh...yeah.

There are enough weasel words there to start a jack-in-the-box factory.
One extrapolation follows the other, the Starseed Project is real, Von Neuman machines are almost possible now in 2012. It doens't make sense to send out people when you can start off exploration with machines. We are finding evidence of a huge number of planets and many that could possibly support life, it doesn't take a more than avg bright teenager to follow such extrapolations to the likely conclusions because they are grounded in real science...you of course, don't really care about that..only in being mundane.

RAMA
Von Neumann machines are not "almost possible now." Where do you get this nonsense?

Here's a question for you: if intelligent life roughly fitting the parameters, capabilities, resources, and interests of human beings was at all common in the universe, how come we've never seen any evidence of it? Likewise with FTL travel. If it's possible to travel faster-than-light and it requires a level of technology that we can conceive (meaning alien civilizations capable of it should be ubiquitous), we should be getting visitors all the time, or at least detecting some really odd (inexplicable) characteristics in space where there's any FTL going on.

Based on the current evidence, it's quite conceivable that we are the most "advanced" life in the entire universe. Maybe the universe is chock full of life, but none of it has ever become more complex than fungi, except for on Earth.

Even if there are intelligent alien civilizations, that's no guarantee any of them are contemporary with us, either.

If having a space empire was practical and there existed alien life willing and able to establish one, we'd be living under it right now. Given that we aren't, why not accept the prospect that maybe, just maybe, those civilizations don't exist, or the means to create and run such an empire are either impossible or so difficult to achieve as to be effectively impossible?

It's not "unimaginative" or "mundane" to say this, either. It is acknowledging that just because we can imagine something to happen, that doesn't mean it actually can or will happen. Being able to separate fantasy from reality is something most children learn before the age of 10. Throwing away that distinction as an adult doesn't make one more enlightened. If anything, it makes them delusional.
Exchanging time and the sheer volume of space instead of a creator, natural evolution in this universe and on this planet has created millions of species over time, the sheer likelihood that a galaxy with over 200-400 billion stars stars in it, 200,000 light years across, with over 2,000 known planets, and one with a 100% chance of life already, and a possbility that organisms might live on another one in this solar system (perhaps the moon Titan, that would be 2 planets out of 8 in ONE solar system), it is probably very likely that another species exists somewhere. This aforementioned exchange is very forgiving, the billions of years it takes for evolution could exist in a number of combinations over a life cycle of stars that have existed and still exist.

In terms of what we know right up to this second, there is of course no other life in the universe, and that isn't in dispute here, but hypothetically, it seems logical that ones that operate within the laws we do know now, or even for a decade or two in our future could figure out how to make some moderately intelligent replicators to spread themselves over the galaxy much easier than breaking the known laws of physics.

There are of course many theories as to why we don't see any of these species...the Fermi Paradox being one of them...http://www.faughnan.com/setifail.html

These are speculations of course, but taking into account the scientific position that there could be 300 million Earthlike planets out there, it is STILL possible that space is really big, and the lack of exotic drives just makes it take a long time to get anywhere. Still, given the universal/geological timeframe, there should seem to be evidence, so it is also possible these aliens are attracted to the rich source of energy in the OTHER direction of our solar system, and they flock to the galactic core. My current most likely scenerio is that the Singularity occurs in each civilization that survives their adolescence and self destruction, perhaps 80% destroy themselves, 20% do not...20% of 30 million possible life bearing planets is still 6 million survivors. It is possible that such evolution causes introspection on a monumental level as the AI explores it's possibilities, they may decide to be completely insular for a very long period, and then exploration "seeding the galaxy" may start after a time.
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It is far better to grasp the universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. Carl Sagan
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