Re: David Brin's latest novel, and a TED talk
The real fantasy here is linear thinking in technology which is demonstrably false.
First I heard of this. Care for a demonstration?
There's a lot of information to cover, and I'd refer you to detailed books on the subject. Here's a history of accelerating change by John Smart, which has links to books and sites, which supply graphs and mathematical evidence on the subject.
The wikipedia entry:
10 drivers of accelerated change:
Rand report on accelerated change:
THE GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION: Bio/Nano/Materials Trends and Their Synergies with Information Technology by 2015
It is far better to grasp the universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. Carl Sagan
Last edited by RAMA; May 13 2012 at 09:17 PM.