Yep looks like we're all but qualified.
I know, and obviously they get revenue etc which helps their national game. But it can't be good for them, and how long has this been going on for? I don't see any signs of improvement.
I just think it would be better if they had their own tournament, so they could play teams who they actually have a chance of beating, and maybe the winners get a place at the Euro Championships or something (although then there would be a danger of diluting the competition, but hopefully if they had some momentum of winning they might have more confidence, and if they get one of their rare shock results it could give them a decent showing).
Ideally you'd hope for a scenario like in cricket, where Ireland in particular have played well in international tournaments.