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-   -   What do you predict STID will make worldwide? (http://www.trekbbs.com/showthread.php?t=206539)

RAMA March 19 2013 01:06 AM

What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
We had a lot of fun with this before ST09 so I'm surprised there hasn't been a thread about it. We're less than two months away now. What do you predict the worldwide gross will be? Feel free to add any breakdowns you like.

Personally, I was dead wrong about the first movie, I projected it would make slightly more than the pattern of the favorite ST films, I believe it was somewhere around $160-180 million. Of course it went on to make $385 million and over $120 million+ on DVD/Bluray.

So here goes:

Opening: $85 million
Domestic: $325 million
Foreign: $180 million
Total: $505 million

BillJ March 19 2013 01:20 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
$600 million.

It'll likely struggle in international markets.

Xaios March 19 2013 02:01 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
I'm thinking a theatrical worldwide gross of about $400m-$450m. It does have to compete with Iron Man 3, after all.

Nerys Myk March 19 2013 03:59 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Butt load.

Kruezerman March 19 2013 04:09 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

Nerys Myk wrote: (Post 7819021)
Butt load.

Is that metric?

Because a metric shit ton is different from a regular shit ton. :p

serenitytrek1 March 19 2013 08:48 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Probably 500 million dollars worldwide.....I know some fans are saying the film will make a billion dollars at the global boxoffice but that seems a little farfetched.

serenitytrek1 March 19 2013 08:49 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

RAMA wrote: (Post 7818394)
We had a lot of fun with this before ST09 so I'm surprised there hasn't been a thread about it. We're less than two months away now. What do you predict the worldwide gross will be? Feel free to add any breakdowns you like.

Personally, I was dead wrong about the first movie, I projected it would make slightly more than the pattern of the favorite ST films, I believe it was somewhere around $160-180 million. Of course it went on to make $385 million and over $120 million+ on DVD/Bluray.

So here goes:

Opening: $85 million
Domestic: $325 million
Foreign: $180 million
Total: $505 million


I think the opening will be around 110-135 million.

T'Girl March 19 2013 09:22 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

BillJ wrote: (Post 7818436)
It'll likely struggle in international markets.

Depend on the ratio of dialog rich scenes to action scenes.

Most people find a excessive amounts of subtitles to be a pain in the ass, and will tell their friends who haven't yet seen the movie. Reviewers comment on it too.

When Uhura was stripping off her clothes in the last movie, few likely were looking at the bottom of the screen to see what she was saying.

:)

lurok March 19 2013 09:38 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Kirk & catwomen + Cumberbitch frenzy = box office mojo.

Though that's only part of formula.

King Daniel Into Darkness March 19 2013 11:00 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
I'm hoping the involvement of Cumberbatch, the rest of the British actors and the London setting will hike up the UK box office take. And in Japan too, due to Cumby's superstar staus there. I'm also hoping all the Star Wars fans around the world will come along to see what their new God is capable of.

That said, I'm a little concerned with how quiet things are around here. It does not bode well.

The Mirrorball Man March 19 2013 11:20 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

T'Girl wrote: (Post 7819477)
Most people find a excessive amounts of subtitles to be a pain in the ass, and will tell their friends who haven't yet seen the movie. Reviewers comment on it too.

There's this thing called dubbing.

BillJ March 19 2013 11:28 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

King Daniel wrote: (Post 7819621)

That said, I'm a little concerned with how quiet things are around here. It does not bode well.

We've been discussing it for four years now. Not sure there's much left to be said until we have the actual product to dissect.

Skywalker March 19 2013 11:28 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
$700 million worldwide.

I'm feeling optimistic.

serenitytrek1 March 19 2013 11:35 AM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

King Daniel wrote: (Post 7819621)
I'm hoping the involvement of Cumberbatch, the rest of the British actors and the London setting will hike up the UK box office take. And in Japan too, due to Cumby's superstar staus there. I'm also hoping all the Star Wars fans around the world will come along to see what their new God is capable of.

That said, I'm a little concerned with how quiet things are around here. It does not bode well.




Hey King Daniel, Speaking of Cumberbatch been British, You and I are living in England at the moment, which means we get the advantage of seeing the film first .I assure you not to worry, things won’t be quiet around here for long.

As for box office, I won’t be surprised if trek over takes Ironman. A lot of people might be Ironman fatigued because of Avengers. With Iron man we all know what to expect, Trek is still a bit off a mystery.

I also never thought that Skyfall will out gross Breaking Dawn 2 last year....So yeah, Trek may just defeat Iron man.

DarthTom March 19 2013 01:09 PM

Re: What do you predict STID will make worldwide?
 
Quote:

RAMA wrote: (Post 7818394)
So here goes:

Opening: $85 million
Domestic: $325 million
Foreign: $180 million
Total: $505 million

That's reasonable. I'm going to put the opening a little higher at around $100 million because a lot of Trek fans will fork out the cash to see the film in IMAX which is more expensive and pushes up the box office take. And a lot of Trek fans will pay the extra cost to see the film 2x in IMAX - I'm guessing in the same week it opens.

So, $100 million opening weekend - $500 million Domestic - $750 million Total.


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